A CAPF official stands guard while voters wait to cast their votes at a polling station during the second phase of the West Bengal Assembly elections 2026, in Purba Bardhaman on Wednesday. (@CEOWestBengal/ANI Photo) Exit polls on Wednesday agreed that the BJP-led alliance would win Assam comfortably, the UDF would unseat the LDF in Kerala and the AINRC-BJP combine would retain Puducherry but disagreed on the outcome in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal.The most startling prediction was Axis My India’s projection of Tamil Nadu being a tight race between the Vijay-led TVK (98-120 seats) and the DMK alliance (92-110) – in that order – with the AIADMK-led NDA reduced to an also-ran in the 234-member House. The other three exit polls being taken into account here all gave the DMK-led coalition a majority, though a reduced one from five years earlier. Blockbuster debut by Vijay’s TVK in Tamil Nadu? On West Bengal, while Axis MY India did not release its findings on Wednesday and some other well-known pollsters too preferred to wait for another day, of the three polls here, the one by P Marq projected BJP to most likely win a majority in the 294-member assembly and Matrize gave the saffron party the edge though not a majority in a state it has never won in the past. The third poll, People’s Pulse, in contrast, projected a decisive TMC victory that would give Mamata Banerjee a fourth consecutive term of office.All four exit polls suggested that the NDA was likely to win a two-thirds majority in the 126-member Assam assembly, which would also mean BJP for the first time winning a majority on its own in the northeastern state.The Congress-led alliance was projected to bag between 24 and 40 seats.If Left loses, it will not be in office in any stateIn Kerala, the consensus was that the UDF would win though the projections ranged from as little as 70 of the 140 seats at the bottom of the Matrize range to 90 at the top end of the Axis My India range. The LDF was projected to end up with at best 69 seats, which would mean that the Left would for the first since 1977 not be in office in any state. Exit polls have had a patchy record in India. The results will be known on Monday, May 4.End of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideosRaghav Chadha Fallout: Who Really Wins and Loses in Punjab?Mumbai–Pune Expressway’s ‘Missing Link’ Opens May 1: Faster Travel, Better Safety, No Extra Toll90-Year-Old Rejects Apology, Then Court Pushes ₹20 Crore Case to 2046Ganga Expressway Inaugurated: What ₹1,500 Toll Gets You on UP’s 594-km High-Speed Corridor | PM ModiUAE Quits OPEC In Big Oil Shake-Up: What It Means For India‘Siddaramaiah Ready To Step Down As Karnataka CM If Rahul Gandhi Asks’: Ex-Minister RajannaBengal Phase 2 Polls: 142 Constituencies Vote Today, Over 3.21 Crore Voters to DecideChokepoints of Power: how India can ‘trump’ China on the seasSwati Maliwal’s Explosive Exit: Assault Allegations, ‘Betrayal’ Charges Rock AAP As She Joins BJPIndian Aviation Sector Warns Of Possible Shutdown Amid Soaring Fuel Costs123PhotostoriesMorning affirmation at 5am: Wake up, check in for a soul resetHow to make Cucumber Sandwich for a light summer breakfastTaarak Mehta Ka Ooltah Chashmah: Who is Nilesh Bhatt? Meet the actor who played over 20 different roles on the showWhy does day-old rice get dry in the refrigerator? 4 easy fixes to keep it soft and fluffy‘Ted Lasso’ season 4 release: Here is all you need to knowShe thought it was stress, doctors found a hormone disorderTamannaah Bhatia serves Andy Sachs energy at ‘The Devil Wears Prada’ India screening in a dramatic David Koma ensembleJyotiraditya Scindia carries an onion in his pocket: Why Indians follow this tradition in summerIs your child not serious about studies? 5 parental behaviours that could be the reasonTMC’s fort or BJP’s breakthrough? The 7 districts that will decide who rules Nabanna123Hot PicksExit Poll Result 2026Bengal Election 2026Bengal Poll Phase 2 ViolenceFirhad HakimMK StalinExit Poll PredictionsHimanta Biswa SarmaTop TrendingAssembly Election Exit PollsExit Poll results 2026Bengal Exit Polls 2026Puducherry Exit Polls 2026IPL Match TodayMI vs SRH HighlightsRaja Raghuvanshi Wife BailBengal PollsCGBSE 12th ResultIPL Orange Cap
Exit polls on Wednesday agreed that the BJP-led alliance would win Assam comfortably, the UDF would unseat the LDF in Kerala and the AINRC-BJP combine would retain Puducherry but disagreed on the outcome in Tamil Nadu and West Bengal.The most startling prediction was Axis My India’s projection of Tamil Nadu being a tight race between the Vijay-led TVK (98-120 seats) and the DMK alliance (92-110) – in that order – with the AIADMK-led NDA reduced to an also-ran in the 234-member House. The other three exit polls being taken into account here all gave the DMK-led coalition a majority, though a reduced one from five years earlier.
Blockbuster debut by Vijay’s TVK in Tamil Nadu?
On West Bengal, while Axis MY India did not release its findings on Wednesday and some other well-known pollsters too preferred to wait for another day, of the three polls here, the one by P Marq projected BJP to most likely win a majority in the 294-member assembly and Matrize gave the saffron party the edge though not a majority in a state it has never won in the past. The third poll, People’s Pulse, in contrast, projected a decisive TMC victory that would give Mamata Banerjee a fourth consecutive term of office.All four exit polls suggested that the NDA was likely to win a two-thirds majority in the 126-member Assam assembly, which would also mean BJP for the first time winning a majority on its own in the northeastern state.The Congress-led alliance was projected to bag between 24 and 40 seats.If Left loses, it will not be in office in any stateIn Kerala, the consensus was that the UDF would win though the projections ranged from as little as 70 of the 140 seats at the bottom of the Matrize range to 90 at the top end of the Axis My India range. The LDF was projected to end up with at best 69 seats, which would mean that the Left would for the first since 1977 not be in office in any state. Exit polls have had a patchy record in India. The results will be known on Monday, May 4.
