May 18, 2026
NEW DELHI: On paper, the 2026 assembly elections are straightforward: five regions, 824 seats, and a familiar roster of parties battling for power. West Bengal (294 seats), Tamil Nadu (234), Kerala (140), Assam (126), and Puducherry (30) together form a significant, but not unprecedented, electoral exercise.Yet, this is not a routine election cycle.The timing gives it weight. As of May 3, 2026, the BJP-led NDA governs 21 out of 31 states and Union Territories. The regions that have just voted — particularly in the South and East — are among the last major spaces where the BJP has not fully consolidated power. That alone turns this into a test of geographic expansion. Watch Fish, Film Stars, Singer Zubeen & Pinarayi: 4 Uniques of This Election | I WitnessThe scale of voter participation sharpens that sense of importance. West Bengal has recorded turnout close to 91%, among the highest ever. Tamil Nadu has seen turnout in the 85.1%, a notable jump. Assam has recorded close to 86%, Kerala has remained steady around 80%, and Puducherry has touched roughly 90%. These are not numbers that suggest voter fatigue. They point instead to a politically charged electorate, invested in the outcome.High turnout, however, remains an ambiguous signal. It can indicate anti-incumbency, but it can also reflect strong mobilisation by ruling parties. It may point to enthusiasm for new entrants, or a consolidation of traditional vote banks. In 2026, it appears to be all of these at once — which is precisely what makes the outcome difficult to predict, hours before counting begins.The BJP’s expansion questionFor the BJP, the 2026 elections are as much about immediate outcomes as they are about long-term trajectory. The party has already achieved national dominance, but its map remains uneven. The Hindi heartland and parts of the West are firmly within its grasp, while the South and East continue to present resistance.This election is a test of whether that resistance is softening.In West Bengal, the BJP is no longer an outsider. Its rise from marginal presence to a formidable challenger in 2021 — when it secured 77 seats and over 38% vote share — marked a structural shift. The question now is whether that growth can translate into power, or at least into a vote share that pushes it decisively into the mid-40s.In Tamil Nadu, the challenge is different. The BJP remains a secondary player but has been attempting a gradual expansion. Even incremental gains — a higher vote share or a stronger assembly presence — would carry political significance by breaking the perception that the state is impenetrable.Assam is a test of consolidation. The BJP is the incumbent here. If it improves its standalone performance, it would suggest a move beyond coalition dependence toward deeper dominance.Across these states, the BJP faces a core question: can it convert national strength into uniform regional presence, or is it nearing a natural ceiling in culturally distinct regions?Congress and its fight for relevanceIf the BJP’s question is about expansion, the Congress faces a more fundamental one: relevance.The party remains a key player, but no longer the default pole of opposition. Instead, it operates within a fragmented landscape, often as part of alliances rather than as the central force.In Kerala, it remains a principal contender. A victory would reaffirm its ability to compete independently. A loss would weaken its claim to being a national alternative, particularly in the South.In Assam, it is challenging an entrenched BJP but faces the complications of a multi-cornered contest, where vote splits could dilute its impact.In Tamil Nadu, it is a junior partner dependent on the DMK. In West Bengal, it has gone solo but remains a marginal force.The underlying question is clear: can the Congress rebuild as a primary force in key states, or will it remain an essential but secondary player within coalitions?Regional strongholds under pressureWhile national parties dominate the narrative, these elections are equally about the resilience of regional forces.In West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress is defending not just a government, but a political model built on welfare, identity and leadership. The scale of its 2021 victory established dominance, but the BJP’s rise means that dominance is now under pressure. Even a reduced majority could have consequences beyond the numbers.In Banerjee’s case, the final stretch of the campaign has reflected a leader fighting not just an election, but a narrative. In the last few days after polling closed, Banerjee shifted gears from large rallies to hyper-local mobilisation, focusing on booth-level management and direct voter contact.The post-polling time became increasingly granular — with the chief minister reviewing constituency-wise feedback, flagging sensitive booths, and pushing cadre to ensure turnout among core support groups. Her visits to strongrooms and repeated public warnings about electoral vigilance reinforced this approach, signalling a strategy built as much on guarding votes as on winning them.The campaigning messaging, too, was sharpened this time: from broad welfare claims to a more pointed appeal around identity, rights, and alleged voter roll exclusions. By foregrounding issues like the Special Intensive Revision and positioning herself as a defender of the “vote”, Banerjee sought to convert organisational strength into electoral security. For the Trinamool Congress, this last-mile push is critical. In a contest where margins could tighten, the effectiveness of booth-level mobilisation — ensuring that every identified supporter actually votes — may ultimately matter as much as the broader political narrative.Tamil Nadu is witnessing a disruption of its traditional DMK-AIADMK binary. The emergence of the Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor Vijay, has introduced unpredictability. Even without sweeping wins, its vote share could alter outcomes across constituencies.In Kerala, the stakes are structural. The Left, led by Pinarayi Vijayan, is attempting a rare third consecutive term. For the Congress, stopping that is central to its political relevance.Assam represents a system already transformed, where the BJP is dominant and the question is whether opposition forces can regroup.Across states, a common thread emerges: regional parties remain powerful, but they are operating under increasing pressure from national expansion and shifting voter behaviour.A moment before the verdictBy this time tomorrow, the numbers will begin to settle. Governments will take shape. Winners and losers will be clear.But the deeper story will lie beneath the results.If the BJP expands, it reinforces the arc of national dominance. If regional parties hold, it signals resilience of India’s federal diversity. If Congress gains, it hints at recovery. If new entrants like TVK make an impact, it suggests appetite for disruption.What makes this election moment distinctive is that all these possibilities remain open, on the eve of counting.This is why the election feels existential — not because of any single result, but because of what the combination of outcomes will mean.As counting begins on May 4, one question will linger beyond the trends:Is India moving toward a more centralised political order, or will its regional diversity continue to define its democracy?The answer will emerge seat by seat.About the AuthorPallaviNews desk journalist, digital, at The Times of India, with a focus on Indian politics. Over a decade of chasing stories, taming headlines and arguing with commas like they’re part of the opposition. Tracks elections, policy pivots, party drama and the fine print of power, where every word can tilt the narrative. Believes good journalism is clarity under pressure, ideally filed before the next breaking alert crashes in. Powered by deadlines, context, sharp edits and a steady supply of strong tea.Read MoreEnd of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideosBJP MP Sandeep Pathak Claims ‘No Information’ On FIRs, Alleges Misuse Of State Machinery In PunjabIndian Startup Launches Mission Drishti, World’s First OptoSAR Satellite, Aboard SpaceX Falcon 9Diljit Dosanjh Confronts Khalistan Supporters at Calgary Concert, Explains KBC AppearanceDelhi Approves ₹48,000 Crore Metro Expansion Plan To Connect Outer Regions With City CoreVietnam President To Lam’s First State Visit To India: What It Means For New Delhi-Hanoi TiesPune Rape-Murder Case: CM Fadnavis Assures Fast-Track Trial, Targets Oppn Over ‘Cash-for-Transfer’Nishant Kumar Begins Sadbhav Yatra from Patna, Says Aim is Worker Outreach & Public ConnectIAF Rescues Two Children Stranded On Water Tank in Siddharthnagar, UP Using Mi-17 HelicopterMassive Fire in Delhi’s Vivek Vihar Building, 9 Dead as Rescue Operations Continue in ShahdaraPune Child Rape-Murder Sparks Protests, Highway Blocked Near Navale Bridge123PhotostoriesRed vs green Apple: How to choose the right one for your health goalsRihanna to Katy Perry: 7 most bizarre Met Gala looks that stole the spotlightBhagavad Gita lessons to overcome life’s challenges and stay happySudden back pain? It might not be muscle strain; here’s how to spot kidney stones early and what to do5 countries where you can drive with your Indian driving licenceFrom six stunning balconies with spectacular views to a lobby with three private lifts, Siddharth Nigam offers a glimpse into his luxurious homeWhy Chennai’s Anna Salai1.5-km flyover section is a big relief for commutersBengaluru’s Namma Metro Pink Line enters crucial testing phase ahead of launch: What you need to know10 common behaviours that quietly ruin first impressionsWhere snakes hide around your home: 7 surprising spots in your house and garden you should never ignore123Hot PicksAssam key constituenciesKerala key constituenciesPuducherry election resultsTamil Nadu constituenciesAjay Pal SharmaBengal Poll RecordHimanta Biswa SarmaTop TrendingUS Germany relationsBank Holiday MayVande Bharat expressLPG cylinder price hikeMumbai missing linkPetrol, Diesel, LPG priceCBSE Class 12th ResultNEET 2026: Exam-day guideBSE AP SSC Class 10th ResultIPL Orange Cap

NEW DELHI: On paper, the 2026 assembly elections are straightforward: five regions, 824 seats, and a familiar roster of parties battling for power. West Bengal (294 seats), Tamil Nadu (234), Kerala (140), Assam (126), and Puducherry (30) together form a significant, but not unprecedented, electoral exercise.Yet, this is not a routine election cycle.The timing gives it weight. As of May 3, 2026, the BJP-led NDA governs 21 out of 31 states and Union Territories. The regions that have just voted — particularly in the South and East — are among the last major spaces where the BJP has not fully consolidated power. That alone turns this into a test of geographic expansion. Watch Fish, Film Stars, Singer Zubeen & Pinarayi: 4 Uniques of This Election | I WitnessThe scale of voter participation sharpens that sense of importance. West Bengal has recorded turnout close to 91%, among the highest ever. Tamil Nadu has seen turnout in the 85.1%, a notable jump. Assam has recorded close to 86%, Kerala has remained steady around 80%, and Puducherry has touched roughly 90%. These are not numbers that suggest voter fatigue. They point instead to a politically charged electorate, invested in the outcome.High turnout, however, remains an ambiguous signal. It can indicate anti-incumbency, but it can also reflect strong mobilisation by ruling parties. It may point to enthusiasm for new entrants, or a consolidation of traditional vote banks. In 2026, it appears to be all of these at once — which is precisely what makes the outcome difficult to predict, hours before counting begins.The BJP’s expansion questionFor the BJP, the 2026 elections are as much about immediate outcomes as they are about long-term trajectory. The party has already achieved national dominance, but its map remains uneven. The Hindi heartland and parts of the West are firmly within its grasp, while the South and East continue to present resistance.This election is a test of whether that resistance is softening.In West Bengal, the BJP is no longer an outsider. Its rise from marginal presence to a formidable challenger in 2021 — when it secured 77 seats and over 38% vote share — marked a structural shift. The question now is whether that growth can translate into power, or at least into a vote share that pushes it decisively into the mid-40s.In Tamil Nadu, the challenge is different. The BJP remains a secondary player but has been attempting a gradual expansion. Even incremental gains — a higher vote share or a stronger assembly presence — would carry political significance by breaking the perception that the state is impenetrable.Assam is a test of consolidation. The BJP is the incumbent here. If it improves its standalone performance, it would suggest a move beyond coalition dependence toward deeper dominance.Across these states, the BJP faces a core question: can it convert national strength into uniform regional presence, or is it nearing a natural ceiling in culturally distinct regions?Congress and its fight for relevanceIf the BJP’s question is about expansion, the Congress faces a more fundamental one: relevance.The party remains a key player, but no longer the default pole of opposition. Instead, it operates within a fragmented landscape, often as part of alliances rather than as the central force.In Kerala, it remains a principal contender. A victory would reaffirm its ability to compete independently. A loss would weaken its claim to being a national alternative, particularly in the South.In Assam, it is challenging an entrenched BJP but faces the complications of a multi-cornered contest, where vote splits could dilute its impact.In Tamil Nadu, it is a junior partner dependent on the DMK. In West Bengal, it has gone solo but remains a marginal force.The underlying question is clear: can the Congress rebuild as a primary force in key states, or will it remain an essential but secondary player within coalitions?Regional strongholds under pressureWhile national parties dominate the narrative, these elections are equally about the resilience of regional forces.In West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress is defending not just a government, but a political model built on welfare, identity and leadership. The scale of its 2021 victory established dominance, but the BJP’s rise means that dominance is now under pressure. Even a reduced majority could have consequences beyond the numbers.In Banerjee’s case, the final stretch of the campaign has reflected a leader fighting not just an election, but a narrative. In the last few days after polling closed, Banerjee shifted gears from large rallies to hyper-local mobilisation, focusing on booth-level management and direct voter contact.The post-polling time became increasingly granular — with the chief minister reviewing constituency-wise feedback, flagging sensitive booths, and pushing cadre to ensure turnout among core support groups. Her visits to strongrooms and repeated public warnings about electoral vigilance reinforced this approach, signalling a strategy built as much on guarding votes as on winning them.The campaigning messaging, too, was sharpened this time: from broad welfare claims to a more pointed appeal around identity, rights, and alleged voter roll exclusions. By foregrounding issues like the Special Intensive Revision and positioning herself as a defender of the “vote”, Banerjee sought to convert organisational strength into electoral security. For the Trinamool Congress, this last-mile push is critical. In a contest where margins could tighten, the effectiveness of booth-level mobilisation — ensuring that every identified supporter actually votes — may ultimately matter as much as the broader political narrative.Tamil Nadu is witnessing a disruption of its traditional DMK-AIADMK binary. The emergence of the Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor Vijay, has introduced unpredictability. Even without sweeping wins, its vote share could alter outcomes across constituencies.In Kerala, the stakes are structural. The Left, led by Pinarayi Vijayan, is attempting a rare third consecutive term. For the Congress, stopping that is central to its political relevance.Assam represents a system already transformed, where the BJP is dominant and the question is whether opposition forces can regroup.Across states, a common thread emerges: regional parties remain powerful, but they are operating under increasing pressure from national expansion and shifting voter behaviour.A moment before the verdictBy this time tomorrow, the numbers will begin to settle. Governments will take shape. Winners and losers will be clear.But the deeper story will lie beneath the results.If the BJP expands, it reinforces the arc of national dominance. If regional parties hold, it signals resilience of India’s federal diversity. If Congress gains, it hints at recovery. If new entrants like TVK make an impact, it suggests appetite for disruption.What makes this election moment distinctive is that all these possibilities remain open, on the eve of counting.This is why the election feels existential — not because of any single result, but because of what the combination of outcomes will mean.As counting begins on May 4, one question will linger beyond the trends:Is India moving toward a more centralised political order, or will its regional diversity continue to define its democracy?The answer will emerge seat by seat.About the AuthorPallaviNews desk journalist, digital, at The Times of India, with a focus on Indian politics. Over a decade of chasing stories, taming headlines and arguing with commas like they’re part of the opposition. Tracks elections, policy pivots, party drama and the fine print of power, where every word can tilt the narrative. Believes good journalism is clarity under pressure, ideally filed before the next breaking alert crashes in. Powered by deadlines, context, sharp edits and a steady supply of strong tea.Read MoreEnd of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideosBJP MP Sandeep Pathak Claims ‘No Information’ On FIRs, Alleges Misuse Of State Machinery In PunjabIndian Startup Launches Mission Drishti, World’s First OptoSAR Satellite, Aboard SpaceX Falcon 9Diljit Dosanjh Confronts Khalistan Supporters at Calgary Concert, Explains KBC AppearanceDelhi Approves ₹48,000 Crore Metro Expansion Plan To Connect Outer Regions With City CoreVietnam President To Lam’s First State Visit To India: What It Means For New Delhi-Hanoi TiesPune Rape-Murder Case: CM Fadnavis Assures Fast-Track Trial, Targets Oppn Over ‘Cash-for-Transfer’Nishant Kumar Begins Sadbhav Yatra from Patna, Says Aim is Worker Outreach & Public ConnectIAF Rescues Two Children Stranded On Water Tank in Siddharthnagar, UP Using Mi-17 HelicopterMassive Fire in Delhi’s Vivek Vihar Building, 9 Dead as Rescue Operations Continue in ShahdaraPune Child Rape-Murder Sparks Protests, Highway Blocked Near Navale Bridge123PhotostoriesRed vs green Apple: How to choose the right one for your health goalsRihanna to Katy Perry: 7 most bizarre Met Gala looks that stole the spotlightBhagavad Gita lessons to overcome life’s challenges and stay happySudden back pain? It might not be muscle strain; here’s how to spot kidney stones early and what to do5 countries where you can drive with your Indian driving licenceFrom six stunning balconies with spectacular views to a lobby with three private lifts, Siddharth Nigam offers a glimpse into his luxurious homeWhy Chennai’s Anna Salai1.5-km flyover section is a big relief for commutersBengaluru’s Namma Metro Pink Line enters crucial testing phase ahead of launch: What you need to know10 common behaviours that quietly ruin first impressionsWhere snakes hide around your home: 7 surprising spots in your house and garden you should never ignore123Hot PicksAssam key constituenciesKerala key constituenciesPuducherry election resultsTamil Nadu constituenciesAjay Pal SharmaBengal Poll RecordHimanta Biswa SarmaTop TrendingUS Germany relationsBank Holiday MayVande Bharat expressLPG cylinder price hikeMumbai missing linkPetrol, Diesel, LPG priceCBSE Class 12th ResultNEET 2026: Exam-day guideBSE AP SSC Class 10th ResultIPL Orange Cap

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NEW DELHI: On paper, the 2026 assembly elections are straightforward: five regions, 824 seats, and a familiar roster of parties battling for power. West Bengal (294 seats), Tamil Nadu (234), Kerala (140), Assam (126), and Puducherry (30) together form a significant, but not unprecedented, electoral exercise.Yet, this is not a routine election cycle.The timing gives…

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F-35 fighter jets (Image: lockheedmartin website) Israel’s defence ministry on Sunday said that it has given final approval to purchase two new combat squadrons of advanced fighter aircraft from Lockheed Martin and Boeing in a deal worth tens of billions of dollars aimed at strengthening the country’s long-term military capability and air superiority.The deal includes…

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US President Donald Trump Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps on Sunday said the United States faces a choice between an “impossible” military operation or a “bad deal” with Tehran, mocking Washington’s narrowed options amid a prolonged diplomatic deadlock and rising tensions between the two countries.In a statement carried by state television, the Guards’ intelligence organisation…

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Rahul Gandhi holds a clay pot during a public rally in support of party candidate for Thuraiyur constituency Lenin Prasath in Tiruchirappalli district. (PTI) NEW DELHI: In Tamil Nadu’s tightly structured alliance politics, the verdict is often as much about continuity as it is about change. With voting now complete and results due, attention turns to what the outcome could mean for the balance of power within alliances, particularly for the Indian National Congress.A victory for the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(DMK)-led front would be read primarily as an endorsement of the ruling party’s leadership.Chief minister MK Stalin remains the central figure in the state’s political battle, and governance credit is expected to accrue largely to his party. For Congress, which continues as a junior partner in the alliance, such an outcome would ensure representation and continuity, but not necessarily greater political ownership. Watch Tamil Nadu Exit Polls: One Pollster Gives 100+ Seats To Vijay’s TVK, Others Predict DMK ComebackThe alliance with the DMK has offered Congress stability in Tamil Nadu. It provides a defined electoral space, access to governance, and a role within a broader opposition framework. At the same time, it reinforces a structural hierarchy. Congress operates within limits set by seat-sharing arrangements and the dominance of its ally, which constrains its ability to expand independently.The party’s presence in Tamil Nadu has remained steady but modest, and a victory within the alliance would likely maintain that equilibrium rather than alter it significantly.Could Vijay have lifted Congress?The emergence of actor-turned-politician Vijay introduces an important counterfactual to this election as his appeal among younger voters and his positioning outside traditional party structures have added a new variable to the state’s political landscape. While his electoral impact will become clearer over time, his entry has already expanded the range of political possibilities.For Congress, a potential alignment with Vijay could have offered an alternative pathway. Such a move might have helped the party reconnect with sections of the electorate that are not fully aligned with existing alliance structures. It may also have provided an opportunity to negotiate a more balanced role, rather than remaining within the established framework dominated by the DMK.At the same time, such a shift would have carried risks. The existing alliance provides electoral certainty and organisational coordination that a new partnership may not immediately replicate. Questions of vote transfer, leadership clarity, and ideological alignment would have required careful navigation. In a state where voters have historically favoured stable and clearly defined alliances, any reconfiguration would have needed to present a coherent and credible alternative.Congress ultimately chose continuity over experimentation in this election. By remaining within the DMK-led alliance, it opted for a familiar and relatively secure political arrangement.As results are awaited, the broader implications of this choice come into focus. If the alliance returns to power, Congress will continue to be part of the governing framework, benefiting from association with a successful coalition. However, its role is likely to remain secondary, with limited scope to shape the overarching political narrative in the state.The question of long-term growth, therefore, remains open. Congress’s strategy in Tamil Nadu has prioritised stability and alliance cohesion, but it has yet to translate into a significant expansion of its independent base. Whether future electoral cycles prompt a reassessment of this approach, including the possibility of engaging with emerging political forces like Vijay, will be a key factor in determining its trajectory in the state.For now, with the electorate having cast its vote, the focus is on the verdict. The outcome will decide not only the composition of the next government, but also whether existing political arrangements continue to hold or begin to evolve.About the AuthorTOI News DeskThe TOI News Desk comprises a dedicated and tireless team of journalists who operate around the clock to deliver the most current and comprehensive news and updates to the readers of The Times of India worldwide. With an unwavering commitment to excellence in journalism, our team is at the forefront of gathering, verifying, and presenting breaking news, in-depth analysis, and insightful reports on a wide range of topics. The TOI News Desk is your trusted source for staying informed and connected to the ever-evolving global landscape, ensuring that our readers are equipped with the latest developments that matter most.”Read MoreEnd of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideosBJP MP Sandeep Pathak Claims ‘No Information’ On FIRs, Alleges Misuse Of State Machinery In PunjabIndian Startup Launches Mission Drishti, World’s First OptoSAR Satellite, Aboard SpaceX Falcon 9Diljit Dosanjh Confronts Khalistan Supporters at Calgary Concert, Explains KBC AppearanceDelhi Approves ₹48,000 Crore Metro Expansion Plan To Connect Outer Regions With City CoreVietnam President To Lam’s First State Visit To India: What It Means For New Delhi-Hanoi TiesPune Rape-Murder Case: CM Fadnavis Assures Fast-Track Trial, Targets Oppn Over ‘Cash-for-Transfer’Nishant Kumar Begins Sadbhav Yatra from Patna, Says Aim is Worker Outreach & Public ConnectIAF Rescues Two Children Stranded On Water Tank in Siddharthnagar, UP Using Mi-17 HelicopterMassive Fire in Delhi’s Vivek Vihar Building, 9 Dead as Rescue Operations Continue in ShahdaraPune Child Rape-Murder Sparks Protests, Highway Blocked Near Navale Bridge123PhotostoriesRed vs green Apple: How to choose the right one for your health goalsRihanna to Katy Perry: 7 most bizarre Met Gala looks that stole the spotlightBhagavad Gita lessons to overcome life’s challenges and stay happySudden back pain? It might not be muscle strain; here’s how to spot kidney stones early and what to do5 countries where you can drive with your Indian driving licenceFrom six stunning balconies with spectacular views to a lobby with three private lifts, Siddharth Nigam offers a glimpse into his luxurious homeWhy Chennai’s Anna Salai1.5-km flyover section is a big relief for commutersBengaluru’s Namma Metro Pink Line enters crucial testing phase ahead of launch: What you need to knowWhere snakes hide around your home: 7 surprising spots in your house and garden you should never ignore5 best summer fabrics for men to beat the heatwave123Hot PicksAssam key constituenciesKerala key constituenciesPuducherry election resultsTamil Nadu constituenciesAjay Pal SharmaBengal Poll RecordHimanta Biswa SarmaTop TrendingUS Germany relationsBank Holiday MayVande Bharat expressLPG cylinder price hikeMumbai missing linkPetrol, Diesel, LPG priceCBSE Class 12th ResultNEET 2026: Exam-day guideBSE AP SSC Class 10th ResultIPL Orange Cap

Rahul Gandhi holds a clay pot during a public rally in support of party candidate for Thuraiyur constituency Lenin Prasath in Tiruchirappalli district. (PTI) NEW DELHI: In Tamil Nadu’s tightly structured alliance politics, the verdict is often as much about continuity as it is about change. With voting now complete and results due, attention turns to what the outcome could mean for the balance of power within alliances, particularly for the Indian National Congress.A victory for the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(DMK)-led front would be read primarily as an endorsement of the ruling party’s leadership.Chief minister MK Stalin remains the central figure in the state’s political battle, and governance credit is expected to accrue largely to his party. For Congress, which continues as a junior partner in the alliance, such an outcome would ensure representation and continuity, but not necessarily greater political ownership. Watch Tamil Nadu Exit Polls: One Pollster Gives 100+ Seats To Vijay’s TVK, Others Predict DMK ComebackThe alliance with the DMK has offered Congress stability in Tamil Nadu. It provides a defined electoral space, access to governance, and a role within a broader opposition framework. At the same time, it reinforces a structural hierarchy. Congress operates within limits set by seat-sharing arrangements and the dominance of its ally, which constrains its ability to expand independently.The party’s presence in Tamil Nadu has remained steady but modest, and a victory within the alliance would likely maintain that equilibrium rather than alter it significantly.Could Vijay have lifted Congress?The emergence of actor-turned-politician Vijay introduces an important counterfactual to this election as his appeal among younger voters and his positioning outside traditional party structures have added a new variable to the state’s political landscape. While his electoral impact will become clearer over time, his entry has already expanded the range of political possibilities.For Congress, a potential alignment with Vijay could have offered an alternative pathway. Such a move might have helped the party reconnect with sections of the electorate that are not fully aligned with existing alliance structures. It may also have provided an opportunity to negotiate a more balanced role, rather than remaining within the established framework dominated by the DMK.At the same time, such a shift would have carried risks. The existing alliance provides electoral certainty and organisational coordination that a new partnership may not immediately replicate. Questions of vote transfer, leadership clarity, and ideological alignment would have required careful navigation. In a state where voters have historically favoured stable and clearly defined alliances, any reconfiguration would have needed to present a coherent and credible alternative.Congress ultimately chose continuity over experimentation in this election. By remaining within the DMK-led alliance, it opted for a familiar and relatively secure political arrangement.As results are awaited, the broader implications of this choice come into focus. If the alliance returns to power, Congress will continue to be part of the governing framework, benefiting from association with a successful coalition. However, its role is likely to remain secondary, with limited scope to shape the overarching political narrative in the state.The question of long-term growth, therefore, remains open. Congress’s strategy in Tamil Nadu has prioritised stability and alliance cohesion, but it has yet to translate into a significant expansion of its independent base. Whether future electoral cycles prompt a reassessment of this approach, including the possibility of engaging with emerging political forces like Vijay, will be a key factor in determining its trajectory in the state.For now, with the electorate having cast its vote, the focus is on the verdict. The outcome will decide not only the composition of the next government, but also whether existing political arrangements continue to hold or begin to evolve.About the AuthorTOI News DeskThe TOI News Desk comprises a dedicated and tireless team of journalists who operate around the clock to deliver the most current and comprehensive news and updates to the readers of The Times of India worldwide. With an unwavering commitment to excellence in journalism, our team is at the forefront of gathering, verifying, and presenting breaking news, in-depth analysis, and insightful reports on a wide range of topics. The TOI News Desk is your trusted source for staying informed and connected to the ever-evolving global landscape, ensuring that our readers are equipped with the latest developments that matter most.”Read MoreEnd of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideosBJP MP Sandeep Pathak Claims ‘No Information’ On FIRs, Alleges Misuse Of State Machinery In PunjabIndian Startup Launches Mission Drishti, World’s First OptoSAR Satellite, Aboard SpaceX Falcon 9Diljit Dosanjh Confronts Khalistan Supporters at Calgary Concert, Explains KBC AppearanceDelhi Approves ₹48,000 Crore Metro Expansion Plan To Connect Outer Regions With City CoreVietnam President To Lam’s First State Visit To India: What It Means For New Delhi-Hanoi TiesPune Rape-Murder Case: CM Fadnavis Assures Fast-Track Trial, Targets Oppn Over ‘Cash-for-Transfer’Nishant Kumar Begins Sadbhav Yatra from Patna, Says Aim is Worker Outreach & Public ConnectIAF Rescues Two Children Stranded On Water Tank in Siddharthnagar, UP Using Mi-17 HelicopterMassive Fire in Delhi’s Vivek Vihar Building, 9 Dead as Rescue Operations Continue in ShahdaraPune Child Rape-Murder Sparks Protests, Highway Blocked Near Navale Bridge123PhotostoriesRed vs green Apple: How to choose the right one for your health goalsRihanna to Katy Perry: 7 most bizarre Met Gala looks that stole the spotlightBhagavad Gita lessons to overcome life’s challenges and stay happySudden back pain? It might not be muscle strain; here’s how to spot kidney stones early and what to do5 countries where you can drive with your Indian driving licenceFrom six stunning balconies with spectacular views to a lobby with three private lifts, Siddharth Nigam offers a glimpse into his luxurious homeWhy Chennai’s Anna Salai1.5-km flyover section is a big relief for commutersBengaluru’s Namma Metro Pink Line enters crucial testing phase ahead of launch: What you need to knowWhere snakes hide around your home: 7 surprising spots in your house and garden you should never ignore5 best summer fabrics for men to beat the heatwave123Hot PicksAssam key constituenciesKerala key constituenciesPuducherry election resultsTamil Nadu constituenciesAjay Pal SharmaBengal Poll RecordHimanta Biswa SarmaTop TrendingUS Germany relationsBank Holiday MayVande Bharat expressLPG cylinder price hikeMumbai missing linkPetrol, Diesel, LPG priceCBSE Class 12th ResultNEET 2026: Exam-day guideBSE AP SSC Class 10th ResultIPL Orange Cap

Vamsikrishna04 mins mins

Rahul Gandhi holds a clay pot during a public rally in support of party candidate for Thuraiyur constituency Lenin Prasath in Tiruchirappalli district. (PTI) NEW DELHI: In Tamil Nadu’s tightly structured alliance politics, the verdict is often as much about continuity as it is about change. With voting now complete and results due, attention turns…

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ADB launches billion connectivity plan; Asia power and digital networks to expand by 2035

ADB launches $70 billion connectivity plan; Asia power and digital networks to expand by 2035

Vamsikrishna03 mins mins

The Asian Development Bank on Sunday rolled out an ambitious $70 billion regional investment roadmap to strengthen electricity links and digital infrastructure across Asia and the Pacific by 2035, in a push to improve resilience, reduce costs and widen access, PTI reported.The package combines two large programmes –a $50 billion Pan-Asia Power Grid Initiative and…

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Harvard resumes merit raises at select schools after a year of budget cuts

Harvard resumes merit raises at select schools after a year of budget cuts

Vamsikrishna03 mins mins

Harvard University will allow schools to resume merit-based salary increases for the 2026-27 fiscal year, indicating partial recovery across parts of the institution after last year’s federal funding cuts. According to The Harvard Crimson, the Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard Business School, and Harvard School of Public Health will provide pay…

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‘Indian government will be responsible’: Vinesh Phogat wary of competing at venue under Brij Bhushan’s influence

‘Indian government will be responsible’: Vinesh Phogat wary of competing at venue under Brij Bhushan’s influence

Vamsikrishna03 mins mins

Brij Bhushan Singh, Vinesh Phogat NEW DELHI: Wrestler Vinesh Phogat on Sunday said the Union government would be responsible if anything happens to her or her team members during the upcoming National Open Ranking Tournament in Gonda, Uttar Pradesh. She also raised concerns about officiating in her comeback event.In a video message ahead of her…

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Photo credit: X/@CAC_CPRO NEW DELHI: An IAF Mi 17 V5 of Central Air Command (CAC) was deployed to rescue two stranded children, who were stuck on top of a water tank in Sidharth Nagar in Gorakhpur, Uttar Pradesh. This came as five children climbed a water tank to record a social media reel and the access stairs gave way, leaving one child dead.”On a request from state government authorities, an IAF Mi 17 V5 of Central Air Command (CAC) was deployed to rescue two stranded children, who were stuck on top of a water tank in Sidharth Nagar in Gorakhpur, Uttar Pradesh. The children were stranded in the night as the ladder of the water tank was damaged. The rescue mission, yet again, displays the IAF’s professionalism and commitment to save lives with a swift response in times of need,” CAC IAF said in a post on X. It also shared videos of the rescue operation.District magistrate Shivsharanappa told ANI three children fell when the structure collapsed, while two others were left stranded on top of the tank.“An incident occurred when five children climbed atop a water tank to record a reel, and when the stairs broke, three of them fell from the water tank. One child died, and two others are being treated at the medical college,” he said.He added that rescue operations for the stranded children required coordination between the fire department and the Indian Air Force due to difficult terrain and poor road access.“For the rescue operation of the two children who were still atop the tank, we first called a fire engine from Gorakhpur. Because the soil was very muddy and the road wasn’t properly built, we consulted with the Air Force officer in Gorakhpur as part of Plan B. They dispatched a helicopter around 5 AM this morning, and the two children were safely rescued and sent to their parents’ home. We thank the Chief Minister’s office, whose coordination provided the Air Force and ensured the successful, quick operation,” Shivsharanappa said.PollShould there be stricter regulations on climbing dangerous structures for social media?Yes, definitelyNo, it’s personal choiceOfficials confirmed that the two safely rescued children are under medical care, while further details are awaited.About the AuthorTOI News DeskThe TOI News Desk comprises a dedicated and tireless team of journalists who operate around the clock to deliver the most current and comprehensive news and updates to the readers of The Times of India worldwide. With an unwavering commitment to excellence in journalism, our team is at the forefront of gathering, verifying, and presenting breaking news, in-depth analysis, and insightful reports on a wide range of topics. The TOI News Desk is your trusted source for staying informed and connected to the ever-evolving global landscape, ensuring that our readers are equipped with the latest developments that matter most.”Read MoreEnd of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideos‘I Am Also A Victim’: Vinesh Phogat Identifies As Complainant In Brij Bhushan Sexual Harassment CaseBJP MP Sandeep Pathak Claims ‘No Information’ On FIRs, Alleges Misuse Of State Machinery In PunjabIndian Startup Launches Mission Drishti, World’s First OptoSAR Satellite, Aboard SpaceX Falcon 9Diljit Dosanjh Confronts Khalistan Supporters at Calgary Concert, Explains KBC AppearanceDelhi Approves ₹48,000 Crore Metro Expansion Plan To Connect Outer Regions With City CoreVietnam President To Lam’s First State Visit To India: What It Means For New Delhi-Hanoi TiesPune Rape-Murder Case: CM Fadnavis Assures Fast-Track Trial, Targets Oppn Over ‘Cash-for-Transfer’Nishant Kumar Begins Sadbhav Yatra from Patna, Says Aim is Worker Outreach & Public ConnectIAF Rescues Two Children Stranded On Water Tank in Siddharthnagar, UP Using Mi-17 HelicopterMassive Fire in Delhi’s Vivek Vihar Building, 9 Dead as Rescue Operations Continue in Shahdara123PhotostoriesRed vs green Apple: How to choose the right one for your health goalsRihanna to Katy Perry: 7 most bizarre Met Gala looks that stole the spotlightBhagavad Gita lessons to overcome life’s challenges and stay happySudden back pain? It might not be muscle strain; here’s how to spot kidney stones early and what to do5 countries where you can drive with your Indian driving licenceFrom six stunning balconies with spectacular views to a lobby with three private lifts, Siddharth Nigam offers a glimpse into his luxurious homeWhy Chennai’s Anna Salai1.5-km flyover section is a big relief for commutersBengaluru’s Namma Metro Pink Line enters crucial testing phase ahead of launch: What you need to knowWhere snakes hide around your home: 7 surprising spots in your house and garden you should never ignore5 best summer fabrics for men to beat the heatwave123Hot PicksAssam key constituenciesKerala key constituenciesPuducherry election resultsTamil Nadu constituenciesAjay Pal SharmaBengal Poll RecordHimanta Biswa SarmaTop TrendingUS Germany relationsBank Holiday MayVande Bharat expressLPG cylinder price hikeMumbai missing linkPetrol, Diesel, LPG priceCBSE Class 12th ResultNEET 2026: Exam-day guideBSE AP SSC Class 10th ResultIPL Orange Cap

Photo credit: X/@CAC_CPRO NEW DELHI: An IAF Mi 17 V5 of Central Air Command (CAC) was deployed to rescue two stranded children, who were stuck on top of a water tank in Sidharth Nagar in Gorakhpur, Uttar Pradesh. This came as five children climbed a water tank to record a social media reel and the access stairs gave way, leaving one child dead.”On a request from state government authorities, an IAF Mi 17 V5 of Central Air Command (CAC) was deployed to rescue two stranded children, who were stuck on top of a water tank in Sidharth Nagar in Gorakhpur, Uttar Pradesh. The children were stranded in the night as the ladder of the water tank was damaged. The rescue mission, yet again, displays the IAF’s professionalism and commitment to save lives with a swift response in times of need,” CAC IAF said in a post on X. It also shared videos of the rescue operation.District magistrate Shivsharanappa told ANI three children fell when the structure collapsed, while two others were left stranded on top of the tank.“An incident occurred when five children climbed atop a water tank to record a reel, and when the stairs broke, three of them fell from the water tank. One child died, and two others are being treated at the medical college,” he said.He added that rescue operations for the stranded children required coordination between the fire department and the Indian Air Force due to difficult terrain and poor road access.“For the rescue operation of the two children who were still atop the tank, we first called a fire engine from Gorakhpur. Because the soil was very muddy and the road wasn’t properly built, we consulted with the Air Force officer in Gorakhpur as part of Plan B. They dispatched a helicopter around 5 AM this morning, and the two children were safely rescued and sent to their parents’ home. We thank the Chief Minister’s office, whose coordination provided the Air Force and ensured the successful, quick operation,” Shivsharanappa said.PollShould there be stricter regulations on climbing dangerous structures for social media?Yes, definitelyNo, it’s personal choiceOfficials confirmed that the two safely rescued children are under medical care, while further details are awaited.About the AuthorTOI News DeskThe TOI News Desk comprises a dedicated and tireless team of journalists who operate around the clock to deliver the most current and comprehensive news and updates to the readers of The Times of India worldwide. With an unwavering commitment to excellence in journalism, our team is at the forefront of gathering, verifying, and presenting breaking news, in-depth analysis, and insightful reports on a wide range of topics. The TOI News Desk is your trusted source for staying informed and connected to the ever-evolving global landscape, ensuring that our readers are equipped with the latest developments that matter most.”Read MoreEnd of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideos‘I Am Also A Victim’: Vinesh Phogat Identifies As Complainant In Brij Bhushan Sexual Harassment CaseBJP MP Sandeep Pathak Claims ‘No Information’ On FIRs, Alleges Misuse Of State Machinery In PunjabIndian Startup Launches Mission Drishti, World’s First OptoSAR Satellite, Aboard SpaceX Falcon 9Diljit Dosanjh Confronts Khalistan Supporters at Calgary Concert, Explains KBC AppearanceDelhi Approves ₹48,000 Crore Metro Expansion Plan To Connect Outer Regions With City CoreVietnam President To Lam’s First State Visit To India: What It Means For New Delhi-Hanoi TiesPune Rape-Murder Case: CM Fadnavis Assures Fast-Track Trial, Targets Oppn Over ‘Cash-for-Transfer’Nishant Kumar Begins Sadbhav Yatra from Patna, Says Aim is Worker Outreach & Public ConnectIAF Rescues Two Children Stranded On Water Tank in Siddharthnagar, UP Using Mi-17 HelicopterMassive Fire in Delhi’s Vivek Vihar Building, 9 Dead as Rescue Operations Continue in Shahdara123PhotostoriesRed vs green Apple: How to choose the right one for your health goalsRihanna to Katy Perry: 7 most bizarre Met Gala looks that stole the spotlightBhagavad Gita lessons to overcome life’s challenges and stay happySudden back pain? It might not be muscle strain; here’s how to spot kidney stones early and what to do5 countries where you can drive with your Indian driving licenceFrom six stunning balconies with spectacular views to a lobby with three private lifts, Siddharth Nigam offers a glimpse into his luxurious homeWhy Chennai’s Anna Salai1.5-km flyover section is a big relief for commutersBengaluru’s Namma Metro Pink Line enters crucial testing phase ahead of launch: What you need to knowWhere snakes hide around your home: 7 surprising spots in your house and garden you should never ignore5 best summer fabrics for men to beat the heatwave123Hot PicksAssam key constituenciesKerala key constituenciesPuducherry election resultsTamil Nadu constituenciesAjay Pal SharmaBengal Poll RecordHimanta Biswa SarmaTop TrendingUS Germany relationsBank Holiday MayVande Bharat expressLPG cylinder price hikeMumbai missing linkPetrol, Diesel, LPG priceCBSE Class 12th ResultNEET 2026: Exam-day guideBSE AP SSC Class 10th ResultIPL Orange Cap

Vamsikrishna02 mins mins

Photo credit: X/@CAC_CPRO NEW DELHI: An IAF Mi 17 V5 of Central Air Command (CAC) was deployed to rescue two stranded children, who were stuck on top of a water tank in Sidharth Nagar in Gorakhpur, Uttar Pradesh. This came as five children climbed a water tank to record a social media reel and the…

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CBSE class 12 result 2026 expected soon: Marks needed for BA, BSc and BCom from DU, JNU and top colleges

CBSE class 12 result 2026 expected soon: Marks needed for BA, BSc and BCom from DU, JNU and top colleges

Vamsikrishna02 mins mins

With CBSE Class 12 results expected soon, students across the country are wondering whether their marks will be enough to secure admission in top colleges like DU, JNU and other leading universities.The admission system for India’s top universities, however, has shifted dramatically in recent years, and board marks alone no longer decide a student’s future…

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When Saif Ali Khan was attacked with alcohol glass at Delhi bar after refusing a strange request: ‘He might have killed me’

When Saif Ali Khan was attacked with alcohol glass at Delhi bar after refusing a strange request: ‘He might have killed me’

Vamsikrishna03 mins mins

Before delivering intense performances in films like ‘Omkara’ and ‘Tanhaji’, Saif Ali Khan was often seen as the easygoing, charming star of the ’90s. Known for his calm demeanour and effortless wit, he rarely courted controversy. However, one shocking incident from the early days of his career revealed a far more dangerous side of fame….

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Cat Unique Superpower: Japanese study reveals cat’s unique superpower which helps it land on its feet even after a sudden free fall

Cat Unique Superpower: Japanese study reveals cat’s unique superpower which helps it land on its feet even after a sudden free fall

Vamsikrishna02 mins mins

Japanese researchers discovered cats’ ability to land on their feet is due to their flexible thoracic spine and rigid lumbar spine. This allows them to twist sequentially mid-air, with the front rotating first, followed by the rear, conserving angular momentum and preventing uncontrolled spinning during falls. We have all seen cats jump and climb from…

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Assam election results 2026: Is ‘immigration’ narrative still the BJP’s biggest weapon

Assam election results 2026: Is ‘immigration’ narrative still the BJP’s biggest weapon

Vamsikrishna02 mins mins

Himanta Biswa Sarma. (Photo/ Agencies) NEW DELHI: Whether the BJP-led NDA secures a third consecutive term in Assam will be known when votes cast in the April 9 assembly polls are counted on Monday.Ahead of the polls, the “infiltrator” narrative emerged as one of the BJP’s central electoral planks, with the party campaigning aggressively on…

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NEW DELHI: As Kerala awaits election results on Monday, the bigger political question may not be whether the BJP can win power in the state, but whether it has begun to disrupt Kerala’s long-standing two-front system. For decades, politics in the state has remained firmly bipolar, with power alternating between the CPM-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF). In the 140-member assembly, tightly managed vote transfers, strong cadre networks and local caste-community equations left little room for a third force to emerge. But recent elections suggest BJP is slowly carving out political space in pockets of the state. Its first Lok Sabha victory in Thrissur in 2024, rising vote share, gains in local body polls and growing presence in urban constituencies such as Thiruvananthapuram and Palakkad have signalled a gradual shift in Kerala’s electoral landscape. While the party remains far from mounting a statewide challenge, its strategy of concentrating on select constituencies has begun turning traditional LDF-UDF contests into triangular battles, enough to make the BJP an increasingly important factor in Kerala politics.Is BJP the 3rd wheel in LDF vs UDF?For nearly four decades, Kerala’s elections followed a script so consistent it seemed almost structural. Every five years, power swung between the CPM-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF), turning the state into one of India’s most tightly sealed two-front political systems. In the 140-member assembly, contests were often decided by local equations and disciplined vote transfers, leaving little room for a third force to gain lasting ground. That political cycle snapped in 2021. Breaking with Kerala’s entrenched pattern of anti-incumbency, chief minister Pinarayi Vijayan returned to power with a commanding mandate, leading the LDF to 99 seats while the UDF was pushed down to 41. The verdict was read not just as an endorsement of governance during crisis years, but as proof of how firmly the two-front structure continued to dominate Kerala politics. Yet, beneath that binary, the BJP has been trying to build a quieter political foothold. Far from the sweeping breakthroughs it has delivered elsewhere, the party’s Kerala project has been incremental, focused less on immediate power and more on deepening vote share in a handful of constituencies, expanding organisational networks and positioning itself as a disruptive third pole in contests traditionally controlled by the LDF and the UDF.The quiet rise of the BJPThe BJP’s expansion in Kerala is beginning to move beyond symbolism. A party that struggled for decades to gain a foothold in the state’s entrenched LDF-UDF political structure has, over the last few election cycles, started registering measurable gains in both vote share and representation.The turning point came in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, when the BJP won its first-ever parliamentary seat in Kerala through actor-turned-politician Suresh Gopi’s victory in Thrissur. Alongside the seat win, the NDA increased its vote share in the state to 19.24 per cent, up from 15.64 per cent in 2019, indicating that the party’s support base had expanded beyond isolated pockets.The gains stand in contrast to the CPM’s declining presence in parliamentary elections. The party, which won 12 Lok Sabha seats from Kerala in 2004, saw its tally fall to four in 2009 and five in 2014, before being reduced to one seat in both 2019 and 2024. While the Left has retained its dominance in Assembly politics, the Lok Sabha results reflected a gradual weakening of its national-level electoral influence in the state.The BJP’s rise has also become more visible in local body elections, often viewed as an indicator of organisational strength ahead of Assembly polls. In Thiruvananthapuram, the BJP-led NDA ended the CPM’s three-decade control of the city corporation, emerging as the single-largest front with 50 of the 100 wards. The result marked one of the BJP’s most significant urban gains in Kerala and signalled a shift in contests that have traditionally remained bipolar.The party’s strategy has focused on expanding its presence constituency by constituency rather than attempting a statewide breakthrough. Its gains have been concentrated in urban centres and Hindu-majority regions, while the BJP has also attempted outreach towards sections of the Christian community in central Kerala.Demographically, Hindus make up 54.73 per cent of Kerala’s population, while Muslims account for 26.56 per cent and Christians 18.38 per cent. The BJP’s growth in parts of the state has added pressure on the Left, particularly in Hindu-majority constituencies where triangular contests are beginning to affect traditional LDF-UDF vote equations.Which seats BJP is eyeingThe BJP’s Kerala strategy is no longer centred on chasing a statewide breakthrough. Instead, the party is concentrating resources on a handful of constituencies where it believes organisational growth, demographic advantage and recent electoral gains can be converted into winnable contests. At the centre of that strategy are districts such as Thiruvananthapuram, Palakkad, Thrissur, Kasargod and parts of Pathanamthitta — regions where the BJP has either built a visible grassroots presence or sees scope for social consolidation. In Thiruvananthapuram, the BJP’s confidence stems from its growing urban footprint. The party-led NDA wrested control of the city corporation in 2025, ending the CPM’s decades-long dominance in the capital. The result gave the BJP a significant administrative and organisational base in a district where it has consistently improved its vote share over successive elections. Palakkad has emerged as another key focus area. The BJP first made inroads there in 2015, when it secured a municipal chairperson post for the first time in Kerala’s history — a feat it repeated in 2020 and 2025. Over the years, the constituency has shifted from a conventional LDF-UDF contest into a competitive three-cornered fight. The Palakkad assembly seat is now considered one of the most closely watched contests. Known as the “gateway to Kerala”, the constituency’s urban-rural mix and proximity to the Tamil Nadu border have made it politically distinct from much of the state. The BJP sees Palakkad as one of the few constituencies where its cadre network, municipal presence and expanding vote base could translate into an assembly victory. The party has fielded senior NDA leader Sobha Surendran, who had earlier emerged as a strong challenger in the constituency during the 2016 assembly polls and the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Her campaign has focused heavily on infrastructure and urban development, themes the BJP believes resonate in Palakkad’s increasingly urban electorate. Thrissur remains central to the BJP’s Kerala calculations after Suresh Gopi’s Lok Sabha victory in 2024 gave the party its first parliamentary seat in the state. The win reinforced the BJP’s belief that concentrated campaigns in socially mixed urban constituencies can yield results even within Kerala’s bipolar political structure. In Kasargod, the BJP is banking on support from Kannada-speaking voters and its organisational proximity to coastal Karnataka, where the party has traditionally been stronger. Pathanamthitta, meanwhile, remains politically sensitive because of the Sabarimala issue, with the BJP continuing to view the district as fertile ground for Hindu consolidation politics. Rather than spreading itself thin across all 140 assembly constituencies, the BJP’s approach reflects a more targeted calculation — deepen influence in a limited number of seats, create triangular contests and gradually build durable regional strongholds.About the AuthorTOI News DeskThe TOI News Desk comprises a dedicated and tireless team of journalists who operate around the clock to deliver the most current and comprehensive news and updates to the readers of The Times of India worldwide. With an unwavering commitment to excellence in journalism, our team is at the forefront of gathering, verifying, and presenting breaking news, in-depth analysis, and insightful reports on a wide range of topics. The TOI News Desk is your trusted source for staying informed and connected to the ever-evolving global landscape, ensuring that our readers are equipped with the latest developments that matter most.”Read MoreEnd of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideosBJP MP Sandeep Pathak Claims ‘No Information’ On FIRs, Alleges Misuse Of State Machinery In PunjabIndian Startup Launches Mission Drishti, World’s First OptoSAR Satellite, Aboard SpaceX Falcon 9Diljit Dosanjh Confronts Khalistan Supporters at Calgary Concert, Explains KBC AppearanceDelhi Approves ₹48,000 Crore Metro Expansion Plan To Connect Outer Regions With City CoreVietnam President To Lam’s First State Visit To India: What It Means For New Delhi-Hanoi TiesPune Rape-Murder Case: CM Fadnavis Assures Fast-Track Trial, Targets Oppn Over ‘Cash-for-Transfer’Nishant Kumar Begins Sadbhav Yatra from Patna, Says Aim is Worker Outreach & Public ConnectIAF Rescues Two Children Stranded On Water Tank in Siddharthnagar, UP Using Mi-17 HelicopterMassive Fire in Delhi’s Vivek Vihar Building, 9 Dead as Rescue Operations Continue in ShahdaraPune Child Rape-Murder Sparks Protests, Highway Blocked Near Navale Bridge123PhotostoriesRihanna to Katy Perry: 7 most bizarre Met Gala looks that stole the spotlightBhagavad Gita lessons to overcome life’s challenges and stay happySudden back pain? It might not be muscle strain; here’s how to spot kidney stones early and what to do5 countries where you can drive with your Indian driving licenceFrom six stunning balconies with spectacular views to a lobby with three private lifts, Siddharth Nigam offers a glimpse into his luxurious homeWhy Chennai’s Anna Salai1.5-km flyover section is a big relief for commutersBengaluru’s Namma Metro Pink Line enters crucial testing phase ahead of launch: What you need to knowWhere snakes hide around your home: 7 surprising spots in your house and garden you should never ignore5 best summer fabrics for men to beat the heatwave5 offbeat beaches in Maharashtra perfect for a peaceful holiday123Hot PicksAssam key constituenciesKerala key constituenciesPuducherry election resultsTamil Nadu constituenciesAjay Pal SharmaBengal Poll RecordHimanta Biswa SarmaTop TrendingUS Germany relationsBank Holiday MayVande Bharat expressLPG cylinder price hikeMumbai missing linkPetrol, Diesel, LPG priceCBSE Class 12th ResultNEET 2026: Exam-day guideBSE AP SSC Class 10th ResultIPL Orange Cap

NEW DELHI: As Kerala awaits election results on Monday, the bigger political question may not be whether the BJP can win power in the state, but whether it has begun to disrupt Kerala’s long-standing two-front system. For decades, politics in the state has remained firmly bipolar, with power alternating between the CPM-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF). In the 140-member assembly, tightly managed vote transfers, strong cadre networks and local caste-community equations left little room for a third force to emerge. But recent elections suggest BJP is slowly carving out political space in pockets of the state. Its first Lok Sabha victory in Thrissur in 2024, rising vote share, gains in local body polls and growing presence in urban constituencies such as Thiruvananthapuram and Palakkad have signalled a gradual shift in Kerala’s electoral landscape. While the party remains far from mounting a statewide challenge, its strategy of concentrating on select constituencies has begun turning traditional LDF-UDF contests into triangular battles, enough to make the BJP an increasingly important factor in Kerala politics.Is BJP the 3rd wheel in LDF vs UDF?For nearly four decades, Kerala’s elections followed a script so consistent it seemed almost structural. Every five years, power swung between the CPM-led Left Democratic Front (LDF) and the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF), turning the state into one of India’s most tightly sealed two-front political systems. In the 140-member assembly, contests were often decided by local equations and disciplined vote transfers, leaving little room for a third force to gain lasting ground. That political cycle snapped in 2021. Breaking with Kerala’s entrenched pattern of anti-incumbency, chief minister Pinarayi Vijayan returned to power with a commanding mandate, leading the LDF to 99 seats while the UDF was pushed down to 41. The verdict was read not just as an endorsement of governance during crisis years, but as proof of how firmly the two-front structure continued to dominate Kerala politics. Yet, beneath that binary, the BJP has been trying to build a quieter political foothold. Far from the sweeping breakthroughs it has delivered elsewhere, the party’s Kerala project has been incremental, focused less on immediate power and more on deepening vote share in a handful of constituencies, expanding organisational networks and positioning itself as a disruptive third pole in contests traditionally controlled by the LDF and the UDF.The quiet rise of the BJPThe BJP’s expansion in Kerala is beginning to move beyond symbolism. A party that struggled for decades to gain a foothold in the state’s entrenched LDF-UDF political structure has, over the last few election cycles, started registering measurable gains in both vote share and representation.The turning point came in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, when the BJP won its first-ever parliamentary seat in Kerala through actor-turned-politician Suresh Gopi’s victory in Thrissur. Alongside the seat win, the NDA increased its vote share in the state to 19.24 per cent, up from 15.64 per cent in 2019, indicating that the party’s support base had expanded beyond isolated pockets.The gains stand in contrast to the CPM’s declining presence in parliamentary elections. The party, which won 12 Lok Sabha seats from Kerala in 2004, saw its tally fall to four in 2009 and five in 2014, before being reduced to one seat in both 2019 and 2024. While the Left has retained its dominance in Assembly politics, the Lok Sabha results reflected a gradual weakening of its national-level electoral influence in the state.The BJP’s rise has also become more visible in local body elections, often viewed as an indicator of organisational strength ahead of Assembly polls. In Thiruvananthapuram, the BJP-led NDA ended the CPM’s three-decade control of the city corporation, emerging as the single-largest front with 50 of the 100 wards. The result marked one of the BJP’s most significant urban gains in Kerala and signalled a shift in contests that have traditionally remained bipolar.The party’s strategy has focused on expanding its presence constituency by constituency rather than attempting a statewide breakthrough. Its gains have been concentrated in urban centres and Hindu-majority regions, while the BJP has also attempted outreach towards sections of the Christian community in central Kerala.Demographically, Hindus make up 54.73 per cent of Kerala’s population, while Muslims account for 26.56 per cent and Christians 18.38 per cent. The BJP’s growth in parts of the state has added pressure on the Left, particularly in Hindu-majority constituencies where triangular contests are beginning to affect traditional LDF-UDF vote equations.Which seats BJP is eyeingThe BJP’s Kerala strategy is no longer centred on chasing a statewide breakthrough. Instead, the party is concentrating resources on a handful of constituencies where it believes organisational growth, demographic advantage and recent electoral gains can be converted into winnable contests. At the centre of that strategy are districts such as Thiruvananthapuram, Palakkad, Thrissur, Kasargod and parts of Pathanamthitta — regions where the BJP has either built a visible grassroots presence or sees scope for social consolidation. In Thiruvananthapuram, the BJP’s confidence stems from its growing urban footprint. The party-led NDA wrested control of the city corporation in 2025, ending the CPM’s decades-long dominance in the capital. The result gave the BJP a significant administrative and organisational base in a district where it has consistently improved its vote share over successive elections. Palakkad has emerged as another key focus area. The BJP first made inroads there in 2015, when it secured a municipal chairperson post for the first time in Kerala’s history — a feat it repeated in 2020 and 2025. Over the years, the constituency has shifted from a conventional LDF-UDF contest into a competitive three-cornered fight. The Palakkad assembly seat is now considered one of the most closely watched contests. Known as the “gateway to Kerala”, the constituency’s urban-rural mix and proximity to the Tamil Nadu border have made it politically distinct from much of the state. The BJP sees Palakkad as one of the few constituencies where its cadre network, municipal presence and expanding vote base could translate into an assembly victory. The party has fielded senior NDA leader Sobha Surendran, who had earlier emerged as a strong challenger in the constituency during the 2016 assembly polls and the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. Her campaign has focused heavily on infrastructure and urban development, themes the BJP believes resonate in Palakkad’s increasingly urban electorate. Thrissur remains central to the BJP’s Kerala calculations after Suresh Gopi’s Lok Sabha victory in 2024 gave the party its first parliamentary seat in the state. The win reinforced the BJP’s belief that concentrated campaigns in socially mixed urban constituencies can yield results even within Kerala’s bipolar political structure. In Kasargod, the BJP is banking on support from Kannada-speaking voters and its organisational proximity to coastal Karnataka, where the party has traditionally been stronger. Pathanamthitta, meanwhile, remains politically sensitive because of the Sabarimala issue, with the BJP continuing to view the district as fertile ground for Hindu consolidation politics. Rather than spreading itself thin across all 140 assembly constituencies, the BJP’s approach reflects a more targeted calculation — deepen influence in a limited number of seats, create triangular contests and gradually build durable regional strongholds.About the AuthorTOI News DeskThe TOI News Desk comprises a dedicated and tireless team of journalists who operate around the clock to deliver the most current and comprehensive news and updates to the readers of The Times of India worldwide. With an unwavering commitment to excellence in journalism, our team is at the forefront of gathering, verifying, and presenting breaking news, in-depth analysis, and insightful reports on a wide range of topics. The TOI News Desk is your trusted source for staying informed and connected to the ever-evolving global landscape, ensuring that our readers are equipped with the latest developments that matter most.”Read MoreEnd of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideosBJP MP Sandeep Pathak Claims ‘No Information’ On FIRs, Alleges Misuse Of State Machinery In PunjabIndian Startup Launches Mission Drishti, World’s First OptoSAR Satellite, Aboard SpaceX Falcon 9Diljit Dosanjh Confronts Khalistan Supporters at Calgary Concert, Explains KBC AppearanceDelhi Approves ₹48,000 Crore Metro Expansion Plan To Connect Outer Regions With City CoreVietnam President To Lam’s First State Visit To India: What It Means For New Delhi-Hanoi TiesPune Rape-Murder Case: CM Fadnavis Assures Fast-Track Trial, Targets Oppn Over ‘Cash-for-Transfer’Nishant Kumar Begins Sadbhav Yatra from Patna, Says Aim is Worker Outreach & Public ConnectIAF Rescues Two Children Stranded On Water Tank in Siddharthnagar, UP Using Mi-17 HelicopterMassive Fire in Delhi’s Vivek Vihar Building, 9 Dead as Rescue Operations Continue in ShahdaraPune Child Rape-Murder Sparks Protests, Highway Blocked Near Navale Bridge123PhotostoriesRihanna to Katy Perry: 7 most bizarre Met Gala looks that stole the spotlightBhagavad Gita lessons to overcome life’s challenges and stay happySudden back pain? 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Vamsikrishna06 mins mins

NEW DELHI: As Kerala awaits election results on Monday, the bigger political question may not be whether the BJP can win power in the state, but whether it has begun to disrupt Kerala’s long-standing two-front system. For decades, politics in the state has remained firmly bipolar, with power alternating between the CPM-led Left Democratic Front…

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