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Exit polls predict a strong return for Nitish Kumar’s NDA in Bihar, with opposition Mahagathbandhan falling short. Projections show the NDA securing a comfortable majority, while the Mahagathbandhan struggles to reach the required numbers. High voter turnout across phases is seen by all major parties as a positive sign for their prospects. Axis My India predicts victory for NDA NEW DELHI: Axis My India and Today’s Chanakya on Wednesday forecast a sweeping return for chief minister Nitish Kumar-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with the opposition Mahagathbandhan projected to fall short of the majority mark in the Bihar elections.While the Axis My India, despite giving a majority to the ruling camp, predicted a close range gap between the NDA and Mahagathbandhan, Today’s Chanakya figures showed that the opposition camp may not cross 100 seats in the 243-seat Bihar assembly contest.Aixs My India (AIM) predicted 121-141 seats for the NDA with 43%vote share, and 98-118 seats for the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan with 41% vote share. Prashant Kishore’s Jan Suraaj is likely to win 0-2 seats, according to AMI.Region-wise seat predictions by AMISeat-wise divisionRegion-wise vote share predictions by AMIVote share-wise divisionToday’s Chanakya has given 160 seats to the NDA (+/-12) with 44% vote share (+/-3%), and the Mahagathbandhan 77 seats (+/-13) with 38% votes (+/-3%).What’s the poll of polls?A poll of polls on Tuesday indicated a likely return of the NDA to power, with the alliance expected to secure around 148 seats. The RJD-led Mahagathbandhan, despite campaigning as the agent of change, is projected to fall short, with estimates placing it at around 88 seats. The others are expected to win 7 seats according to the polls of polls.The People’s Pulse exit poll estimates the NDA at 133–159 seats, the Mahagathbandhan at 75–101, Jan Suraaj at 0–5, and other parties at 2–8 seats.The Dainik Bhaskar poll suggests the NDA could secure 145–160 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan may end up with 73–91. It also predicted that Jan Suraaj may not open its account, and other parties and independents could win 5–10 seats.According to the JVC-Polls, the NDA is projected to win 135–150 seats, the Mahagathbandhan 88–103, and others 3–6 seats.Matrize predicted 147-167 seats for the NDA and 70-90 seats for the opposition Mahagathbandhan. It has an estimated 2-10 seats for others.People’s Insight forecasts 133–148 seats for the NDA and 87–102 for the Mahagathbandhan, while others are expected to win 3–6 seats. Bihar recorded a voter turnout of 68.52 per cent in the second phase of the assembly elections as of 5 pm on Tuesday, according to the Election Commission. The polling took place across 122 constituencies.Record voting in BiharThe first phase of polling had recorded 65.08 per cent turnout. All major political blocs have claimed that the high participation reflects support in their favour.The main contest in the 2025 Bihar Assembly election is between the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the Mahagathbandhan.In the 2020 election, polling was held in three phases. The NDA won 125 seats while the Mahagathbandhan secured 110. Among major parties, the JD(U) won 43 seats and the BJP 74, while the RJD secured 75 seats and the Congress 19.About the AuthorTOI News DeskThe TOI News Desk comprises a dedicated and tireless team of journalists who operate around the clock to deliver the most current and comprehensive news and updates to the readers of The Times of India worldwide. With an unwavering commitment to excellence in journalism, our team is at the forefront of gathering, verifying, and presenting breaking news, in-depth analysis, and insightful reports on a wide range of topics. The TOI News Desk is your trusted source for staying informed and connected to the ever-evolving global landscape, ensuring that our readers are equipped with the latest developments that matter most.”Read MoreEnd of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideosRed Fort Blast Had A Bigger Plan: Faridabad Doctor’s January 26 Recces Raise Chilling Questions’R&D Must Be Seen As Investment, Not Expenditure’: DRDO Chief Samir V KamatPenpa Tsering’s ‘No Hanuman’ Remark: Tibet’s Stark Message on Geography, Peace, and SurvivalAfter Spending 16 Years on Death Row, ‘Nithari Killer’ Surinder Koli Set Free by Supreme CourtGujarat: 2 Workers Killed, 20 Injured After Boiler Explosion At Pharma Factory In BharuchDelhi Blast: PM Modi Meets Victims At LNJP Hospital, Promises Swift Action Against Attack CulpritsIndia’s Growth Story Is Built On Scale, Youth, And Resilience, Says World Bank Economist’You Don’t Have Talent in US’: Donald Trump’s Shocking Shift on H-1B Visa Policy DebateHow Kashmir’s Jaish Posters Led To Delhi’s Red Fort Blast And Exposed A Nationwide Terror Network‘Only Agencies Know the Truth’: Brother of Delhi Blast Accused Breaks Silence123PhotostoriesKriti Sanon’s blush pink saree whispers romance!8 Italian concepts that will change your lifeInside the Taj Mahal’s locked chambers: What is the real reason behind the closed doors of the monumentFrom chopping to cleaning: 5 Kitchen basics every child should master early5 foods to combine with pumpkin for effective weight loss7 classic Indian baby names inspired by music and rhythmGastroenterologist explains the earliest signs of nutrient deficiencyJanhvi Kapoor to Rhea Chakraborty: Top celebrity fashion moments to bookmark for the day6 Rahu and Ketu temples in India that every devotee must visitEgg versus Paneer: Which is a better source of protein for breakfast123Hot PicksBihar Election CandidatesBihar Election ConstituenciesBihar Election 2025Gold rate todaySilver rate todayPublic Holidays NovemberBank Holidays NovemberTop TrendingBabar AzamActor GovindaMLB Trade RumorsStephen Curry WifeDelhi GRAP 3Michael Willis Cause of DeathDelhi BlastStephen CurryJerry JonesMichael Duarte Cause of Death