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			<title>State elections 2026 top developments: BJP eyes third term in Assam, NDA-INDIA face-off in Puducherry and a three-way contest in Kerala NEW DELHI: Voting began across Kerala, Assam and Puducherry on Thursday, with early turnout figures till 9 am indicating steady participation. According to the Election Commission of India, Kerala recorded 16.23% turnout, Assam 17.87%, and Puducherry 17.41% in the first few hours of polling.The counting of votes will take place on May 4, 2026, when results for all three assemblies will be declared. A total of 140 members will be elected in Kerala, 30 in Puducherry, and 126 in Assam. The electorate comprises 2,69,53,644 voters in Kerala, 9,44,211 in Puducherry, and 2,49,58,139 in Assam.Here are the top developments from Assam, Kerala and Puducherry:AssamPrime Minister Narendra Modi urged voters to turn out in large numbers and exercise their franchise. He called on young voters to “enthusiastically participate and transform this election into a festival of democracy and civic duty”. Meanwhile, allegations surfaced from the Opposition regarding an influx of Hindi-speaking voters in lower Assam attempting to vote illegally. Congress candidate from Dispur, Mira Borthakur Goswami, alleged that the BJP could try to secure votes through such means, calling it “vote chori”.PuducherryThe Union Territory recorded an approximate voter turnout of 17.41% till 9 am.Congress leader and former Puducherry chief minister V Narayanasamy expressed confidence in the INDIA bloc securing a victory in the Union Territory.KeralaKollam district reported a turnout of 16.04% by 10 am, with Eravipuram (16.68%) and Kollam (16.64%) among the leading constituencies. Long queues were seen at polling booths, and officials said voting was proceeding peacefully. Favourable weather conditions are expected to support higher turnout through the day.KPCC president and UDF candidate from Peravur, Sunny Joseph, cast his vote at Kadathumkadav in the morning. He predicted a sweeping victory for the UDF with over 100 seats and expressed confidence in securing a fourth consecutive win in Peravur, dismissing opinion polls that projected his defeat.About the AuthorTOI News DeskThe TOI News Desk comprises a dedicated and tireless team of journalists who operate around the clock to deliver the most current and comprehensive news and updates to the readers of The Times of India worldwide. With an unwavering commitment to excellence in journalism, our team is at the forefront of gathering, verifying, and presenting breaking news, in-depth analysis, and insightful reports on a wide range of topics. The TOI News Desk is your trusted source for staying informed and connected to the ever-evolving global landscape, ensuring that our readers are equipped with the latest developments that matter most.&#8221;Read MoreEnd of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideosSheikh Hasina Extradition Demand Tests India-Bangladesh Ties Amid Visa Easing And Energy Talks‘Interesting Thought’: Raghav Chadha Hints at Launching Own Political Party‘Bilateral Trade Growing Towards $500 Bn Ambition’: Piyush Goyal At Launch Of India-US Trade PortalIndia Pushes For &#8216;Freedom Of Navigation&#8217; At Hormuz After Iran-US Ceasefire, Jaishankar Heads To UAE&#8217;How Will We Get PoK, Aksai Chin Back?&#8217;: Owaisi Slams Modi Govt Over US-Iran CeasefireOil Falls After US-Iran Ceasefire, But Why Indians May Not See Cheaper Fuel Anytime SoonIndia Seeks Return Of Stranded Ships In Hormuz, Evacuation Of 7,500 Indians In Iran After CeasefireIndia’s Theatre Command Plan Nears Reality, Marking Major Shift In WarfightingExplained: Why India’s Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor Is A Game-Changer For Its Nuclear RoadmapEAM Jaishankar Hosts Bangladesh FM Khalilur Rahman For Crucial Bilateral Talks In Delhi123PhotostoriesWhy people instinctively close their eyes during prayerStick these 5 quotes in your child’s room and watch their confidence growTop 5 premium residential areas in Gandhinagar for upscale living10 most brightly coloured birds to spot in Indian forests5 powerful types of daan in Hinduism believed to improve your karmaThursday Special: 6 Things to do for prosperity and positivity8 desi vegetarian breakfast dishes made with Oats10 regional and landscape-inspired home names in India and their meaningsHow to grow karela (bitter gourd) in containers at homeTaking calcium but still have weak bones? Why supplements alone don’t work and what you need to actually improve bone health123Hot PicksKerala VotingRaghav ChadhaPurple cap winnerOrange cap winnerIPL Points TablePublic holidays April 2026Bank Holidays AprilTop TrendingPope Leo XIVMamata BanerjeeTop Stock RecommendationsCrude Oil PriceMike VrabelMegan Thee StallionSerena WilliamsIPL Points TableSchool Holidays in AprilKarnataka 2nd PUC Exam Result Date</title>
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			<title>. MUMBAI: The overnight temporary truce in the war in West Asia prompted investors globally to press the buy button on Wednesday which led to sharp rallies in markets around the globe including in India. Starting with Japan, across Hong Kong, China, Pakistan, the UK, Germany, and in the evening the US, all the markets were in a buoyant mood and closed higher.With crude oil prices crashing to below the psychologically important $100/barrel level and rupee strengthening, sensex gained 2,946 points or 4% to close at 77,563 points, nearly a one-month high level. The day&#8217;s nearly 3,000-point rise for the index was its second biggest single-day gain in history. The day&#8217;s rally also added Rs 16.3 lakh crore to investors&#8217; wealth-the biggest single-day boost in history-with India&#8217;s market capitalisation now at Rs 445 lakh crore, BSE data showed.All the sectoral indices closed higher with real estate, auto and financial services industries leading. The day&#8217;s sharp rally came on the back of strong buying by domestic funds with a net inflow of Rs 4,168 crore, while foreign funds continued to remain sellers with the net outflow at Rs 2,812 crore, BSE data showed.The ceasefire between Iran and the US, declared on Tuesday evening, still looks fragile, though India can now breathe easy on several fronts. According to Nilesh Shah, MD, Kotak Mahindra Mutual Fund, from India&#8217;s point of view, the safety of 90 lakh Indians working in the Persian Gulf region, availability of energy with the likely opening of the Strait of Hormuz, price of energy nearing pre-war levels and pre-war level remittance flows from West Asia are critical.Shah, however, cautioned that the markets will continue to react to events and &#8216;there could be many slips between the cup and the lip,&#8217; indicating the fragile nature of the ceasefire. &#8220;Investors should follow their dharma of asset allocation. Don&#8217;t chase momentum swinging by events. Be a disciplined investor catching a falling knife,&#8221; he said. The day&#8217;s rally that came as a big relief to investors and traders on D-Street, was reflected in the sharp downturn in the volatility index as India VIX closed the session 20% down at 19.7 points, NSE data showed.Among the 30 sensex constituents, 27 closed with gains with InterGlobe Aviation (Indigo) up 8.2% while L&#038;T closed 7.6% higher.End of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideos‘Bilateral Trade Growing Towards $500 Bn Ambition’: Piyush Goyal At Launch Of India-US Trade PortalIndia Pushes For &#8216;Freedom Of Navigation&#8217; At Hormuz After Iran-US Ceasefire, Jaishankar Heads To UAE&#8217;How Will We Get PoK, Aksai Chin Back?&#8217;: Owaisi Slams Modi Govt Over US-Iran CeasefireOil Falls After US-Iran Ceasefire, But Why Indians May Not See Cheaper Fuel Anytime SoonIndia Seeks Return Of Stranded Ships In Hormuz, Evacuation Of 7,500 Indians In Iran After CeasefireIndia’s Theatre Command Plan Nears Reality, Marking Major Shift In WarfightingExplained: Why India’s Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor Is A Game-Changer For Its Nuclear RoadmapEAM Jaishankar Hosts Bangladesh FM Khalilur Rahman For Crucial Bilateral Talks In DelhiDRDO Chief Flags Risks Of Foreign Dependence, Calls For Full-Spectrum Defence Self-Reliance&#8217;I Cry When I Think Of Indians&#8217;: Iran Supreme Leader&#8217;s Rep Hails India After Ceasefire With US123PhotostoriesTaking calcium but still have weak bones? Why supplements alone don’t work and what you need to actually improve bone health8 baby girl names inspired by female freedom fightersHow to make Ranveer Brar-Style Biryani ka Masala at home5 interesting ways to use a sandwich maker beyond making sandwichesFrom ‘flying’ to surviving a year without food: 7 snake facts explained8 red snakes you won’t believe exist in the wildThese 8 teddy bear-like dogs are so cute you won’t believe they’re realBanarasi outfit ideas beyond sarees inspired by Bollywood celebritiesWhat are the Vedic switch words? know their powerful effects in HinduismAhead of &#8216;The Devil Wears Prada 2&#8217; release, let&#8217;s revisit Meryl Streep&#8217;s other iconic characters123Hot PicksKerala VotingUpdated IPL Points TablePurple cap winnerOrange cap winnerIPL Points TablePublic holidays April 2026Bank Holidays AprilTop TrendingIndia Pakistan CeasefireMamata BanerjeePawan KheraSabarimala CaseMike VrabelMegan Thee StallionSerena WilliamsIPL Points TableSchool Holidays in AprilKarnataka 2nd PUC Exam Result Date</title>
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			<title>Kerala is out for voting on Thursday and the noise is over.The ‘Kalashakkottu’ has ended, the loudspeakers are off and after weeks of rallies, temple runs, church visits, candidate selfies and backroom arithmetic, the election is back where Kerala likes it best &#8211; booth by booth, ward by ward, vote by vote.Now the real contest shifts to queues outside schools, ward-level mobilisation, last-mile turnout and the quiet discipline of booth agents.The ruling LDF is trying to do what no front in Kerala politics has done in decades: win a third straight term. The UDF claims the mood has shifted after strong local-body results and anti-incumbency. The NDA, meanwhile, is likely not chasing a statewide breakthrough so much as trying to convert a handful of high-visibility pockets into durable political beachheads.But if Kerala’s election is often sold nationally as a simple LDF-vs-UDF duel, 2026 is not that neat.This time, the map is full of constituencies where the margin is thin, the candidate is bigger than the party, or the third player can scramble the script. Some seats are classic swing zones. Some are prestige battles. Some are mini-referendums on ministers.And some, especially in the south and central belt, are where the BJP believes it can finally turn “presence” into “seats”. Think of these seats as Kerala’s pressure points: if the LDF wants a third straight term, it must hold most of them; if the UDF wants to turn local-body momentum into a comeback, it must convert these edges into victories; and if the BJP wants a real headline, not just a vote-share story, its breakthroughs will likely come from this list.In short: This is where Kerala’s election stops being theory and becomes arithmetic.1) Vattiyoorkkavu: The capital’s mood testBack in 2021, Vattiyoorkkavu election results looked comfortable for the Left, with VK Prasanth of the CPI(M) defeating Veena S Nair of the Congress by 21,515 votes. On paper, that margin suggested a seat firmly under LDF control. In the 2026 battlefield, however, the contest looks far more competitive. VK Prasanth is back for the LDF, the UDF has fielded heavyweight K. Muraleedharan, and the BJP has brought in former DGP R Sreelekha.What makes this seat especially significant is the changing political mood in the capital region. BJP’s recent success in taking the Thiruvananthapuram Corporation mayor’s post gave the party a symbolic urban breakthrough and fresh organisational confidence. That does not automatically translate into an Assembly win, but it changes the energy on the ground. 2) Kazhakkoottam: The tech corridor with rising political heatIn Kazhakkoottam, Kadakampally Surendran of the CPI(M) defeated S Suresh Kumar of the Congress by 15,079 votes in 2021. It was not a razor-thin margin, but neither was it beyond reach. In 2026, the same broad contest returns, with Kadakampally Surendran for the LDF, S Suresh Kumar for the UDF, and V Muraleedharan fielded by the BJP.This is one of Kerala’s most rapidly changing urban constituencies, shaped by Technopark, apartment clusters, new middle-class voters and growing frustration around infrastructure and mobility. That makes it more fluid than a traditional suburban seat. The BJP’s stronger ecosystem in the capital belt adds a third angle that can complicate the arithmetic. If the NDA rises here while Congress remains competitive, the LDF’s 2021 cushion can shrink quickly.3) Nemom: Kerala’s saffron testIf one Kerala seat always arrives with prime-time graphics ready, it is Nemom.In 2021, V Sivankutty of the CPI(M) won with 55,837 votes, defeating Kummanam Rajasekharan of the BJP by just 3,949 votes. Congress, though a distant third with 36,524 votes, was still relevant enough to shape the outcome.In 2026, the contest is even bigger. V Sivankutty returns for the LDF, KS Sabarinadhan contests for the UDF, and Rajeev Chandrasekhar is the BJP’s marquee face. This is a serious three-cornered fight. The BJP believes Rajeev Chandrasekhar’s national profile can finally push it over the line.Meanwhile, Congress has put trust in Sabarinadhan to reclaim the anti-LDF space. The LDF knows its best ally may once again be an opposition vote split.If the BJP is to win a seat in Kerala, many in the party still see Nemom as one of its cleanest paths. 4) Paravur: Satheesan’s leadership seat, and a test of UDF authorityIn Paravur, V D Satheesan of the Congress won decisively in 2021, polling 82,264 votes and defeating MT Nixon of the CPI by 21,301 votes. Satheesan secured 51.87% of the vote, while the CPI finished with 60,963 votes or 38.44%. The BJP-aligned BDJS candidate A.B. Jayaprakash polled 12,964 votes (8.17%). In 2026, the contest becomes politically larger than the seat itself. V D Satheesan returns for the UDF, the LDF has fielded ET Tyson of the CPI, and the BJP has nominated Valsala Prasanna Kumar. On numbers alone, Paravur may not look like a knife-edge contest, but Satheesan’s presence changes its weight entirely. This is not just a constituency battle; it is also a referendum on the authority and credibility of the UDF’s chief campaign face.If Satheesan wins comfortably, the UDF can project stability and leadership strength. If the margin narrows sharply, the LDF will immediately try to frame it as evidence that the opposition’s loudest voice is not translating statewide momentum into deeper local consolidation. That is what makes Paravur more than just another safe-looking seat: it is a leadership barometer wrapped inside an Assembly contest.5) Aranmula: The Sabarimala echo chamberIn Aranmula, Veena George of the CPI(M) won in 2021 with 74,950 votes, defeating K. Sivadasan Nair of the Congress by 18,242 votes. That is a healthy margin, and on paper it gives the LDF a clear advantage.In 2026, Veena George returned to the LDF, while K. Sivadasan Nair returned for the UDF. Meanwhile, the BJP has fielded Kummanam Rajasekharan.Aranmula matters because Pathanamthitta district often carries a larger symbolic charge in Kerala politics. This is a region where cultural issues, temple politics and the long shadow of the Sabarimala debate can still influence tone and turnout.Even when the BJP does not win, its ability to shape the discourse can alter the contest between the LDF and UDF.6) Puthuppally: Chandy country, now legacy politicsIn Puthuppally, Oommen Chandy of the Congress won the 2021 election by 9,044 votes, reinforcing the constituency’s long association with one of Kerala’s most iconic leaders.In 2026, the seat remains emotionally charged, with Chandy Oommen contesting for the UDF, Jaick C. Thomas for the LDF and Raveendranath Vakathanam for the BJP.For the Congress, Puthuppally is not just another seat. It is a test of whether the Oommen Chandy legacy still converts into electoral strength beyond memory and sentiment. If the UDF underperforms here, the signal will be alarming statewide.If Chandy Oommen wins comfortably, the party can argue that the Chandy halo still carries political value in central Kerala. 7) Konni: The Pathanamthitta barometerIn Konni, K U Jenish Kumar of the CPI(M) defeated Robin Peter of the Congress by 9,953 votes in 2021.That made it a meaningful LDF gain in a constituency long seen as highly competitive.In 2026, Jenish Kumar is back for the LDF, while the UDF has fielded Prof. Satheesh Kochuparambil.The field is further complicated by Varughese Oommen as an Independent and Sundaresan TP of the NDA-backed BDJS.Konni is one of those seats where candidate personality and local networks matter almost as much as front-level arithmetic. If Congress cannot claw back in a constituency it has historically treated as winnable, its broader recovery story in central Travancore begins to look thinner.8) Alappuzha: Red turf, but never fully safeIn Alappuzha, PP Chitharanjan of the CPI(M) defeated AA Shukoor of the Congress by 11,116 votes in 2021.It was a solid LDF win, but not an untouchable one. In 2026, PP Chitharanjan returns for the LDF, while AA Shukoor is back for the UDF. The BJP has fielded M J Job.Alappuzha town is often treated as ideologically predictable from a distance, but its urban pockets, labour politics and coastal anxieties make it more dynamic than that label suggests.If the UDF can cut the margin here, it would signal a broader improvement in coastal central Kerala.9) Haripad: Chennithala’s personal fortressIn Haripad, Ramesh Chennithala of the Congress defeated Sajilal of the CPI by 13,666 votes in 2021. It was a convincing win for one of the UDF’s biggest faces.In 2026, Chennithala is back for the UDF, taking on TT Jismon of the CPI for the LDF and Sandheep Vachaspathi for the BJP.This is not just a constituency contest; it is also a test of whether one of the UDF’s most recognisable senior leaders still retains strong personal command over his base.If Chennithala’s margin slips sharply, it would raise questions about whether the aura of the UDF’s senior leadership is weaker than it appears. 10) Tanur: A 985-vote thriller returns with a new castIn Tanur, the 2021 result was one of the closest and most politically revealing contests in the Malappuram district. V Abdurahiman, contesting as the LDF-backed NSC candidate, won with 70,704 votes (46.34%) and defeated PK Firos of the UDF-backed IUML by just 985 votes.Firos polled 69,719 votes (45.70%), while K Narayanan Master of the BJP secured 10,590 votes (6.94%).In 2026, the seat becomes even more intriguing because the cast has changed, while the underlying tension remains. The NSC has fielded Muhammed Sameer, the IUML has nominated PK Navas, and the BJP has named Deepa Puzhakkal.Tanur matters because if the UDF wins it back, it reinforces the idea that narrow LDF gains in League-heavy belts were temporary and personality-driven. If the LDF-backed NSC holds on despite a candidate change, it becomes a much bigger story.11) Muvattupuzha: Congress’s aggressive attack faceIn Muvattupuzha, Dr Mathew Kuzhalnadan of the Congress defeated Eldo Abraham of the CPI by 5,361 votes in 2021.That made it a competitive but meaningful UDF hold.In 2026, Kuzhalnadan is back for the UDF, facing N Arun of the CPI for the LDF, with a NDA-backed Twenty20 nominee adding a wildcard factor.Kuzhalnadan matters beyond one constituency because he has emerged as one of the UDF’s most visible and aggressive anti-government voices. If he wins comfortably, the UDF can claim that its new-generation, attack-politics strategy is converting into votes and not just headlines.12) Thripunithura: Tradition meets volatilityIn Thripunithura, K Babu of the Congress defeated M Swaraj of the CPI(M) by just 992 votes in 2021.It was one of the closest contests in the state and immediately marked the seat as a long-term battleground.In 2026, the UDF has fielded Deepak Joy, while the LDF has nominated Unnikrishnan K N.An NDA-backed Twenty20 nominee could again complicate the vote math.Thripunithura has become one of the clearest examples of urban Kerala’s volatility: affluent pockets, temple-belt sentiment and anti-incumbent churn can all move in different directions here.If the UDF holds it again, it can claim that 2021 was not a one-off; if the LDF flips it back, it will be read as a warning sign for the opposition in the Kochi belt. 13) Thrissur: Always dramatic, now truly combustibleFew seats capture Kerala’s triangular politics like Thrissur. In 2021, P Balachandran of the CPI won with 44,263 votes, defeating Padmaja Venugopal of the Congress by just 946 votes, while Suresh Gopi of the BJP polled 40,457 votes and proved the BJP’s viability.In 2026, the LDF has fielded Alankode Leelakrishnan, the UDF has nominated Rajan J Pallan, and Padmaja Venugopal is now the BJP candidate. With Gopi winning the Lok Sabha seat here in 2024, this makes Thrissur one of the most combustible seats in the state. If the BJP wants a genuine breakthrough headline, Thrissur is one of its clearest openings.14) Irinjalakuda: Congress must keep its old groundIn Irinjalakuda, Prof R Bindu of the CPI(M) defeated Thomas Unniyadan of the Kerala Congress (Jacob)/UDF by 12,794 votes in 2021. It was a comfortable but not unassailable win. In 2026, Prof R Bindu returns for the LDF, while Thomas Unniyadan is back for the UDF, with Santosh Cherakulam contesting for the BJP.As a ministerial and prestige seat, Irinjalakuda matters more than its raw numbers might suggest. If the UDF cannot make this competitive in Thrissur district, its larger central Kerala pitch starts to look patchy.15) Chalakkudy: Crowded ballot, tricky seatIn Chalakudy, Saneeshkumar Joseph of the Congress defeated Dennis Antony of the Kerala Congress (M) by just 1,057 votes in 2021. That narrow margin immediately made the seat vulnerable. In 2026, Saneeshkumar Joseph returns for the UDF, while the LDF has fielded Adv. Biju S. Chirayath of the Kerala Congress (M). A Twenty20-backed candidate, Adv Charlypaul, adds another layer of uncertainty.This is the kind of constituency where a fragmented ballot can either sink the incumbent or unexpectedly save him. 16) Palakkad: The loudest three-way fight in KeralaAfter Nemom, Palakkad may be the most nationally watchable Assembly seat in Kerala. In 2021, Shafi Parambil of the Congress defeated E. Sreedharan of the BJP by 3,859 votes in one of the state’s most closely followed contests.In 2026, the equation is completely reset. The UDF has fielded Ramesh Pisharody, the well-known film and television personality. The BJP has nominated Sobha Surendran, one of its most battle-tested campaigners in Kerala. The LDF is backing Independent N M R Razaq. This makes Palakkad a genuine three-way battle. Pisharody brings celebrity appeal and local recall, but celebrity does not automatically convert into transferable votes in Kerala. Sobha brings persistence and cadre energy. The LDF’s decision to back an independent only adds to the unpredictability. If the BJP wants a “breakthrough” headline, Palakkad is firmly on the shortlist.17) Perinthalmanna: Malappuram’s tactical chessboardIn Perinthalmanna, Najeeb Kanthapuram of the IUML defeated K P Mujeeb of the CPI(M) by just 38 votes in 2021. That microscopic margin alone makes it one of the most important rematches in Kerala.In 2026, the contest returns almost as a referendum on that cliffhanger, with Najeeb Kanthapuram for the UDF and KP Mujeeb for the LDF. In a district usually read as UDF-friendly, Perinthalmanna is proof that the LDF can get close enough to truly threaten. If the UDF widens the gap, it reinforces Muslim League resilience in Malappuram. If the LDF flips it, that becomes one of the most politically meaningful upsets in the state.18) Kozhikode North: Urban Left vs expanding BJP voteIn Kozhikode North, Thottathil Raveendran of the CPI(M) won in 2021 with 59,124 votes, defeating the Congress candidate by 12,928 votes. The BJP, however, also posted a substantial vote, crossing the 30,000 mark, which is significant in an urban north Kerala constituency.In 2026, Thottathil Raveendran returns for the LDF, while the UDF has fielded Adv. K. Jayanth and the BJP has nominated Navya Haridas. The BJP may not start as the favourite, but its vote share is too large to ignore. If that vote rises further, the Congress suffers first. If it dips, the UDF becomes more competitive. That makes Kozhikode North one of the best seats to read the triangular balance in urban north Kerala. This is a seat where the BJP’s ceiling, the UDF’s recovery and the LDF’s staying power can all be measured at once. 19) Manjeshwaram: The north Kerala cliffhanger that never stops being dramaticNo Kerala battleground list is complete without Manjeshwaram. In 2021, A K M Ashraf of the IUML defeated K Surendran of the BJP by just 745 votes, once again reinforcing the seat’s reputation for razor-thin outcomes.In 2026, A K M Ashraf is back for the UDF. Surendran returns for the BJP, and K R Jayanandan contests for the LDF. Few seats in Kerala combine border demographics, communal polarisation risks, local candidate strength and turnout sensitivity as sharply as this one. For the BJP, it remains one of the most emotionally important “almost there” seats. For the UDF, it is a must-hold. For the LDF, even small shifts in vote transfer discipline can decide the outcome.20) Dharmadam: Pinarayi’s fortressIf there is one constituency in Kerala where the result matters beyond the seat itself, it is Dharmadam. Chief minister Pinarayi Vijayan is back in the fray here, turning this north Kerala constituency into a prestige battle for the LDF. In 2021, Vijayan won comfortably with 1,04,157 votes, defeating C. Raghunath (Congress), who polled 63,329, by a margin of 40,828 votes. The BJP’s C K Padmanabhan finished third with 14,685 votes. That made Dharmadam look like a safe red fortress—but in Kerala, even “safe” seats are read politically when the chief minister himself is on the ballot.In 2026, the contest is once again high-profile. Pinarayi Vijayan (CPI-M) is facing Adv V P Abdul Rasheed (Congress), while the BJP has fielded K Ranjith. On paper, the chief minister remains the clear favourite, and the LDF’s organisational muscle in Kannur gives him a strong cushion. But this is still a seat where the margin will matter almost as much as the victory. A reduced winning margin would give the opposition a talking point; a dominant win would allow the LDF to project continued control in its ideological heartland. The bigger pictureThe 2026 Kerala election still has a clear statewide frame: Can the LDF win a third straight term, can the UDF turn local-body momentum into an Assembly comeback, and can the NDA convert visibility into seats? But inside that frame, the real action is highly local.In the capital, the BJP’s Thiruvananthapuram Corporation breakthrough has given the NDA its strongest fresh talking point. In Thrissur, Suresh Gopi’s 2024 win still hangs over the map. In Kochi and other urban centres, the UDF’s strong 2025 civic performance suggests anti-incumbency is real, though not necessarily uniform. The UDF is also betting that the Gandhi surname still means something tangible in Kerala. Rahul Gandhi’s long Wayanad connection gives the Congress a ready-made emotional bridge with voters, and Priyanka Gandhi’s campaign appeal can lift cadre morale and media attention at a crucial moment.In Left bastions, the LDF is betting that welfare delivery and organisational depth can still overpower noise.So yes, Kerala will still be counted in 140 seats. But as voting unfolds through the day, these 20 constituencies are where the state’s larger political story may begin to reveal itself first.End of ArticleFollow Us On Social MediaVideos‘Interesting Thought’: Raghav Chadha Hints at Launching Own Political Party‘Bilateral Trade Growing Towards $500 Bn Ambition’: Piyush Goyal At Launch Of India-US Trade PortalIndia Pushes For &#8216;Freedom Of Navigation&#8217; At Hormuz After Iran-US Ceasefire, Jaishankar Heads To UAE&#8217;How Will We Get PoK, Aksai Chin Back?&#8217;: Owaisi Slams Modi Govt Over US-Iran CeasefireOil Falls After US-Iran Ceasefire, But Why Indians May Not See Cheaper Fuel Anytime SoonIndia Seeks Return Of Stranded Ships In Hormuz, Evacuation Of 7,500 Indians In Iran After CeasefireIndia’s Theatre Command Plan Nears Reality, Marking Major Shift In WarfightingExplained: Why India’s Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor Is A Game-Changer For Its Nuclear RoadmapEAM Jaishankar Hosts Bangladesh FM Khalilur Rahman For Crucial Bilateral Talks In DelhiDRDO Chief Flags Risks Of Foreign Dependence, Calls For Full-Spectrum Defence Self-Reliance123PhotostoriesWhy people instinctively close their eyes during prayerStick these 5 quotes in your child’s room and watch their confidence growTop 5 premium residential areas in Gandhinagar for upscale living10 most brightly coloured birds to spot in Indian forests5 powerful types of daan in Hinduism believed to improve your karmaThursday Special: 6 Things to do for prosperity and positivity8 desi vegetarian breakfast dishes made with Oats10 regional and landscape-inspired home names in India and their meaningsHow to grow karela (bitter gourd) in containers at homeTaking calcium but still have weak bones? 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			<title>The CM vs ex-CM clash between N Rangasamy (left) and V Vaithilingam makes Thattanchavady the most high-profile seat The Union territory of Puducherry, a former French colony, heads to the polls on Thursday, with the ruling All India NR Congress (AINRC)–BJP combine seeking a second straight term in power.The Congress–DMK alliance has emerged as the main challenger to the AINRC-BJP’s National Democratic Alliance (NDA), which also includes the AIADMK and businessman Jose Charles Martin’s newly formed Latchiya Jananagaya Katchi (LJK). Tamil superstar Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) is also in the contest, partnering with the Neyam Makkal Kazhagam (NMK), founded by independent MLA G Nehru Kuppusamy. Despite contesting its maiden election, TVK could draw a significant share of votes by leveraging Vijay’s massive popularity.Puducherry: What numbers sayThe Puducherry legislative assembly has 33 seats, of which 30 are filled through direct elections. The remaining three members are nominated by the central government. How parties fared in 2021Following the Special Intensive Revision (SIR), the Union territory’s final electoral roll comprises 944,211 electors. In comparison, the number of eligible voters in the 2021 assembly elections stood at 973,314, of whom 83.8% cast their votes.A total of 294 candidates will be in the fray in the upcoming elections, a drop from 323 in the polls held five years ago. Puducherry assembly polls 2026Chief minister N Rangasamy, who founded the ruling AINRC in February 2011 after quitting the Congress, is contesting from both Thattanchavady and Mangalam. He had also contested from two constituencies in the previous election, winning Thattanchavady but losing in Yanam. How 2021 contest unfoldedA seat-by-seat analysis shows that in 13 constituencies, the winning candidate secured less than 50% of the total votes polled in their constituency.In seven seats, the winning margin was less than 1,000, including four in which it was below 500. For instance, Rangasamy lost by 655 votes to independent candidate Gollapalli Srinivas Ashok in Yanam. The lowest margin was recorded in Karaikal North, with the winner securing only 135 more votes than the runner-up. On the other hand, in the remaining 17 constituencies, each winner secured at least 50% of the total votes polled. Among the winning candidates, only three registered victory margins of 10,000 votes or more. Therefore, given Puducherry’s small population and limited electorate, even slight shifts in vote share can determine the outcome in several constituencies.Seats that can determine 2026 outcomeApart from the closely contested seats in 2021, several high-profile constituencies are also set to play a key role in determining whether the NDA or the Congress–DMK alliance emerges victorious.Thattanchavady: The most high-profile seat is Thattanchavady, as it is likely to play a decisive role in determining Puducherry’s next chief minister. CM Rangasamy is the sitting MLA, and his main challenger is former chief minister V Vaithilingam, who is currently Puducherry’s Lok Sabha MP and the Union territory’s Congress unit president.Rangasamy has won from here five times, defeating CPI nominee K Sethu Selvam by 5,456 votes in the previous assembly polls. Thattanchavady and MangalamMangalam: This is the second constituency contested by Rangasamy, repeating his 2021 strategy when he also contested from Yanam. Mangalam is currently held by the AINRC and was won by its nominee C Djeacoumar, who defeated DMK’s Sun Kumaravel by 2,751 votes.Yanam: Another seat linked with Rangasamy is Yanam, which shares its name with one of the four districts that make up Puducherry. Unique in that the district is surrounded by another state &#8211; Andhra Pradesh &#8211; Yanam is represented by independent Gollapalli Srinivas Ashok, who defeated the AINRC founder-president in the previous election. Yanam and Mannadipet Mannadipet: BJP leader and Puducherry home minister A Namassivayam is the sitting legislator from Mannadipet, making it another key seat to watch. He is contesting from here again, having won by a margin of 2,750 votes against DMK’s A Krishnan.Indira Nagar: The seat is an AINRC stronghold and has remained with the party since 2011. It has twice been represented by Rangasamy, while the incumbent legislator is AKD Arumugam, whose margin of victory—18,531—was the highest in 2021. Indira Nagar and NedungaduNedungadu: This is another AINRC-dominated seat and has remained with the party since 2011. The current MLA is Chandira Priyanga, who resigned in October 2023 and was the only woman minister in Rangasamy’s cabinet. Priyanga had also won from here in 2016.Raj Bhavan: An urban constituency, the BJP will face a prestige test in Raj Bhavan as its Puducherry unit president, VP Ramalingam, is a candidate here. It is currently held by AINRC’s K Lakshminarayan, who also won in 2011 and 2016. In the outgoing assembly, Ramalingam served as one of three MLAs nominated by the central government. Raj Bhavan and MudaliarpetMudaliarpet: The seat is being contested by BJP’s A Johnkumar against incumbent MLA L Sambath of the DMK. Johnkumar, a minister in chief minister Rangasamy’s cabinet, is a former Congress MLA who won the Kamaraj Nagar constituency twice—first as a Congress candidate and later on a BJP ticket.Karaikal North: Only 135 votes separated the winner from the runner-up in 2021, as AINRC’s PRN Thirumurugan defeated Congress candidate AV Subramanian. Thirumurugan is in the fray again from the seat, which he has won three consecutive times. Karaikal North and BahourBahour: One of the six seats won by the DMK in 2021—when it emerged as the second-largest party and the principal opposition—Bahour is represented by R Senthilkumar of the party led by Tamil Nadu chief minister MK Stalin. The winning margin here (211) was the second lowest, as the DMK nominee defeated AINRC’s N Dhanavelou.Mahe: Like Yanam, Mahe comes under and shares its name with a district that is entirely surrounded by another state—Kerala. The victory margin in the previous election was just 300, the third-lowest that year. A Congress-held seat, it was won by the grand old party’s Ramesh Parambath, who edged out independent challenger N Haridasan Master. Mahe and NellithopeNellithope: Another constituency where the winning margin (496) was below 500 five years ago, Nellithope was won by the BJP. Richards Johnkumar, son of Puducherry minister A Johnkumar, was the victor, while DMK’s V Karthikeyan was the runner-up.In the five Puducherry assembly elections since 2001, voters in the Union territory have not returned an incumbent government to power since the Congress-led alliance did so in 2006. In 2011, the electorate backed the AINRC within months of its formation, but the party was voted out after a single term and replaced by the Congress.What happened in previous yearsIn the five Puducherry assembly elections since 2001, voters in the Union territory have not returned an incumbent government to power since the Congress-led alliance did so in 2006. In 2011, the electorate backed the AINRC within months of its formation, but the party was voted out after a single term and replaced by the Congress.The All India NR Congress secured a second term in 2021 in alliance with the BJP, marking their second electoral partnership in Puducherry since joining hands for the Lok Sabha polls in 2014. In the run-up to the current assembly election, Puducherry’s Union territory status—and the BJP-led Centre’s decision not to grant full statehood—has emerged as a key political issue that could significantly influence the outcome.The counting of votes will take place on May 4, alongside four states—Assam, Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and West Bengal—which are also going to the polls this month.About the AuthorKaran ManralKaran Manral is a journalist at the Times of India. He covers politics, social issues, and international affairs, exploring stories that affect people’s everyday lives. 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